Molde vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Molde vs KFUM Oslo
Match Preview
The model favours Molde to win this match against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Molde currently sits in fourth place in the league standings, having accumulated 27 points from 17 matches. Their season has shown a solid attacking output, with 32 goals scored, reflecting their ability to find the back of the net. Although they have faced some inconsistencies, their recent form of three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five matches indicates a team that is finding its rhythm. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo is positioned in twelfth place with 19 points from the same number of games. Their overall performance has been underwhelming, highlighted by a negative goal difference of -8. While they have shown some resilience with three wins in their last five matches, their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 27 goals this season, could pose significant challenges against a more potent Molde attack. The model assigns a win probability of approximately 60% for Molde, suggesting they are the clear favourites. The projected score of 2-1 reflects their attacking strength and KFUM Oslo's defensive issues. However, a potential caveat is that if KFUM Oslo's recent form continues, they could surprise Molde, especially if the latter underestimates them. The full methodology used in this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
Molde have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Molde win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Molde clean sheets, in line with their 19% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Molde are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Molde vs KFUM Oslo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.60 | 1.42 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 1.36 | 5.10 | 7.10 | 1.36 | 2.71 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 1.38 | 5.30 | 7.31 | 1.42 | 2.87 | — | — | |
| 1.31 | 4.72 | 5.99 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.39 | 5.22 | 7.27 | 1.36 | 2.71 | 1.60 | 2.19 | |
| 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.25 | 1.37 | 2.80 | 1.54 | 2.28 | |
Betano | 1.39 | 5.00 | 6.70 | 1.42 | 2.72 | 1.62 | 2.18 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (KFUM Oslo leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Molde and KFUM Oslo shows Molde with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 wins for KFUM Oslo across their last 5 encounters. The results indicate a competitive rivalry, with both teams securing narrow victories; however, KFUM Oslo's two wins came with a scoreline of 3-2, suggesting they can edge out Molde in close contests. Additionally, the presence of two draws highlights the evenly matched nature of their meetings, while Molde's lone win was a decisive 5-1 victory in a friendly. The last time Molde defeated KFUM Oslo in league play was in 2025, indicating a recent advantage for KFUM Oslo in competitive fixtures.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 14 | 33 | 44 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 18 | 24 | 43 | WLWWD |
| 3 |  Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 35 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Molde | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 30 | WWLDW |
| 5 |  Brann | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 | LDLLL |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 19 | LDWWL |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 15 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Start | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 13 | WLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonMolde have won 10 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Molde 3-2 and drew with Molde 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 11L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
KFUM Oslo have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to KFUM Oslo 4-1 and beat IF Ready 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 16L from the last 33 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMolde
No reported absences
KFUM Oslo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Molde have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Molde have generated 1.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Molde player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
