Sandefjord vs Viking Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sandefjord vs Viking
Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Sandefjord, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Viking is currently positioned second in the league, demonstrating strong form with 13 wins from 17 matches this season. They have scored 40 goals while conceding only 17, resulting in a goal difference of +23. This impressive scoring ability, combined with their solid defensive record, underlines their status as title contenders. In contrast, Sandefjord finds itself in 13th place, having secured only 5 wins from their 17 matches. Their recent form has been troubling, with just one win in their last five outings, which has contributed to their negative goal difference of -8. With 15 goals scored and 23 conceded, they face significant challenges, particularly against a high-scoring opponent like Viking. The model gives Viking a strong win probability, reflecting their superior season performance and overall statistics. However, a potential caveat for Viking could be complacency, especially when facing a lower-ranked team. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
Viking have been the stronger side, winning 71% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Viking win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Viking are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sandefjord vs Viking| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 1.48 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
| 3.98 | 4.05 | 1.74 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.73 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 4.03 | 4.32 | 1.80 | 1.47 | 2.78 | — | — | |
| 3.98 | 3.77 | 1.58 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.75 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.73 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 4.08 | 4.15 | 1.78 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 1.38 | 2.75 | 1.41 | 2.63 | |
Betano | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.82 | 1.47 | 2.57 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Superbet | 4.25 | 4.10 | 1.69 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Sandefjord and Viking, Viking has won 7 times, Sandefjord has won once, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong advantage for Viking, particularly highlighted by a series of narrow victories, with five matches decided by a single goal. The only draw occurred in 2022, while Sandefjord's last win against Viking dates back to June 2022. This suggests that Viking has consistently been the dominant side in recent encounters, often securing crucial points in tight contests.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 | DDWLL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSandefjord have won 9 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Viking 1-1 and drew with Brann 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 10L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Viking have won 11 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Viking 1-1 and beat Brodd 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 24W 6D 4L from the last 34 games (71% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSandefjord5-4-1Confirmed
Viking4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
9 playersSandefjord4
Viking5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Kringstad has averaged 8.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Sandefjord have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Viking 7.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viking have generated 1.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 71% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viking player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
