Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
Match Preview
The model favours Rosenborg to win against Ham-Kam, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rosenborg currently sits in 7th place in the Eliteserien standings, with a record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses from 17 matches. Their recent form has been strong, with four wins in their last five matches, indicating a resurgence in performance. They have scored 25 goals while conceding 22, showcasing a modest goal difference of 3, which suggests they are capable of finding the net more often than not. On the other hand, Ham-Kam is positioned 10th with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. Their recent form has been less impressive, managing only one win in their last five matches. This includes three losses, which could indicate struggles in both attacking and defensive phases. With 24 goals scored but 30 conceded, their goal difference of -6 highlights potential vulnerabilities that Rosenborg may exploit. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Rosenborg, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a key caveat is that Rosenborg's inconsistency earlier in the season could lead to a surprise result if they fail to capitalize on their current momentum. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Rosenborg win as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rosenborg clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 1.28 | 5.45 | 9.00 | 1.41 | 2.54 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.34 | 5.77 | 8.80 | 1.48 | 2.73 | — | — | |
| 1.32 | 4.44 | 6.28 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.31 | 5.61 | 9.25 | 1.41 | 2.54 | 1.75 | 1.97 | |
| 1.38 | 4.90 | 7.00 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.61 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 1.36 | 4.90 | 7.60 | 1.52 | 2.50 | 1.75 | 1.98 |
Superbet | 1.36 | 5.15 | 7.00 | 1.49 | 2.52 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Rosenborg leads 5-2)In the last eight encounters between Rosenborg and Ham-Kam, Rosenborg has won five times, Ham-Kam has two victories, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with several matches showing substantial margins, including a 4-0 win for each team. However, there are also tightly contested matches, such as the 2-1 and 1-1 draws. Notably, Ham-Kam's last victory over Rosenborg came in September 2025, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Overall, while Rosenborg holds the upper hand historically, the recent match results reflect a competitive rivalry.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 23 | LDLDW |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRosenborg have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ham-Kam 4-0 and beat Viking 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 14L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ham-Kam have won 4 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Ham-Kam 4-0 and beat Trysil FK 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 14L from the last 32 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRosenborg4-4-2Confirmed
Ham-Kam5-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersRosenborg5
Ham-Kam3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Lien has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Lien to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Rosenborg have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Ham-Kam 3.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.