Brann vs Rosenborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brann vs Rosenborg
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win against Rosenborg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 6th place, Brann has had a mixed season with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses after 14 matches. Their goal difference of +6, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded, indicates a relatively strong attacking presence, although they have struggled with consistency lately, winning three of their last five fixtures. Rosenborg, on the other hand, finds themselves in 10th place with 15 points from 13 matches, featuring 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal statistics show a more challenging season, having scored only 15 goals while conceding 18, resulting in a goal difference of -3. However, they have shown some resilience recently, securing three wins in their last five matches, including a draw that suggests they can be competitive. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Brann, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Brann scoring at least two goals in the match. One caveat to note is that if Rosenborg can maintain their recent form and capitalise on any defensive lapses from Brann, they could pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Brann vs Rosenborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.65 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
| 1.87 | 3.74 | 3.70 | 1.44 | 2.44 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.44 | 2.60 | — | — | |
| 1.93 | 3.90 | 3.63 | 1.51 | 2.57 | — | — | |
| 1.86 | 3.56 | 3.22 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.92 | 3.83 | 3.78 | 1.44 | 2.44 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 1.82 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.50 | 2.33 | 1.49 | 2.38 | |
Betano | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.52 | 2.50 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 6-0)In the last 10 matches between Brann and Rosenborg, Brann has won 6 times, with 3 draws and Rosenborg yet to secure a victory. The scorelines suggest a predominantly one-sided affair, with Brann achieving multiple wins, including a 3-0 and a 3-1, indicating their attacking strength. The matches have also featured a few closely contested encounters, such as the 1-1 and 2-2 draws. Notably, Rosenborg has not won against Brann in this period, highlighting a significant challenge for them in these fixtures.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 35 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Viking | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 5 |  Molde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 | WDWWW |
| 8 | Brann | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 19 | LWWLL |
| 10 | Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 | WWDLL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Start | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 10 | WLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrann have won 5 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Valerenga 2-3 and beat Start 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 14L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rosenborg have won 2 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Start 0-3 and lost to KFUM Oslo 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 12L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBrann
No reported absences
Rosenborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Brann have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Rosenborg 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
