Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win against Qingdao Jonoon, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dalian Zhixing currently sits in 5th place in the league, having accumulated 33 points from 23 matches. Their season has been a mix of results, with 10 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses. Despite a negative goal difference of -6, their attacking capability is reflected in their 34 goals scored. On the other hand, Qingdao Jonoon is struggling at the bottom of the table, positioned 16th with only 14 points. Their season has been challenging, with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses. Notably, they have not secured a single point in their last five matches, which highlights their ongoing difficulties both in scoring and defending, as evidenced by their -13 goal difference. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 65% for Dalian Zhixing, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is Dalian's inconsistency, having only one win in their last five matches. A sudden improvement from Qingdao could lead to an unexpected outcome. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
Dalian Zhixing have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Dalian Zhixing win as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Dalian Zhixing clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Dalian Zhixing are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.43 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 1.33 | 5.10 | 7.60 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.35 | 5.48 | 8.14 | 1.50 | 2.62 | — | — | |
| 1.37 | 3.92 | 5.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.36 | 5.33 | 7.90 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.50 | 1.44 | 2.55 | 1.56 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 1.45 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 1.57 | 2.32 | 1.70 | 2.02 |
Superbet | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.80 | 1.57 | 2.27 | 1.74 | 1.97 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.80 | 7.50 | 1.49 | 2.39 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Dalian Zhixing leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Dalian Zhixing and Qingdao Jonoon shows Dalian winning 1 time, with 1 draw and no victories for Qingdao. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Dalian achieving a solid 2-0 win in their most recent meeting, while the earlier match ended in a 1-1 draw. This suggests a competitive dynamic, though Qingdao has yet to secure a win against Dalian in their last two encounters. The results reflect a tendency for tight contests, but also highlight Dalian's current upper hand in this rivalry.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 | Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDalian Zhixing have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dalian Zhixing 3-1 and beat Dalian Zhixing 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 14L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Qingdao Jonoon have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 15L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDalian Zhixing4-3-3Confirmed
Qingdao Jonoon4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersDalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Qingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dalian Zhixing have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Qingdao Jonoon 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dalian Zhixing have generated 1.89 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dalian Zhixing player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
