Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City
Match Preview
The model favours Chengdu Better City to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Chengdu currently sits at the top of the league table, having accumulated 48 points from 24 matches, with an impressive record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and just 4 losses. They have scored 49 goals while conceding only 29, leading to a goal difference of +20. Their overall performance this season has been strong, which is reflected in their standing. In contrast, Henan Jianye is positioned 13th in the league, with 24 points from 23 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses shows a struggle to find consistency, and they have only managed to score 31 goals while conceding 33. Recent form has not been encouraging, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches, highlighting their difficulties in securing victories. The model indicates a win probability of around 65% for Chengdu Better City. While they are the clear favourites, it is important to note that Henan Jianye could pull off an upset if they manage to convert their chances into goals and tighten their defence. For a comprehensive understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains the in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.3% probability.
Chengdu Better City have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Chengdu Better City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.66 | 3.38 | 2.46 | 1.63 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.73 | 3.44 | 2.51 | 1.64 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 2.41 | 3.11 | 2.25 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.74 | 3.48 | 2.53 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
Betano | 2.65 | 3.35 | 2.47 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Henan Jianye and Chengdu Better City stands at three wins each and three draws over their last nine matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no side showing a clear dominance. The scorelines reveal a mix of close contests, as seen in the frequent narrow margins, such as Henan's 2-1 and 3-2 victories, alongside several goalless draws. Notably, both teams have experienced periods of success, with the last win for Chengdu occurring in December 2022, while Henan's most recent victory was in October 2025.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 | DDLDD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHenan Jianye have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 0-0 and drew with Henan Jianye 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 11L from the last 32 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Chengdu Better City have won 8 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hangzhou Greentown 2-3 and lost to Yunnan Yukun 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 10D 8L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHenan Jianye
No reported absences
Chengdu Better City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Henan Jianye have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Chengdu Better City 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chengdu Better City have generated 1.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chengdu Better City player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
