Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to win against Wuhan Three Towns, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Qingdao currently sits in third place in the league, a significant position given their strong season performance. With eight wins and twelve draws from twenty-four matches, they have accumulated 36 points, showcasing their resilience with only four losses. Their goal difference of -1 indicates they have been competitive, scoring 28 goals while conceding 29. In contrast, Wuhan Three Towns is struggling in fifteenth place, having earned only 16 points from 22 matches with a record of four wins, nine draws, and nine losses. Their goal-scoring has been relatively low, with 30 goals scored and 38 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -8. This season, they have managed just one win in their last five matches, which highlights their ongoing difficulties in securing victories. According to the model, Qingdao Youth Island has a win probability of around 55%, while the projected score of 2-1 reflects their current form and league standing. However, a key caveat is that if Wuhan can improve their defensive solidity and exploit any weaknesses in Qingdao’s backline, they might be able to secure a surprising result. The full method used to reach this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team's in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Wuhan Three Towns have been the stronger side, winning 13% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Wuhan Three Towns clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Wuhan Three Towns are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.82 | 3.50 | 3.95 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 1.82 | 3.55 | 4.05 | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.99 | |
| 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.83 | 3.69 | 4.15 | 1.85 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| 1.78 | 3.07 | 3.45 | 1.84 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.87 | 3.66 | 4.17 | 1.86 | 1.96 | 1.71 | 2.02 | |
| 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.61 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 1.83 | 3.55 | 4.00 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Qingdao Youth Island leads 2-1)In the last four matches between Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island, the record stands at one win for Wuhan, two wins for Qingdao, and one draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with two matches resulting in narrow outcomes, including a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 win for Wuhan. However, Qingdao has shown a stronger edge with a 2-0 and a 3-1 victory in their favor. Overall, while the matches have been closely contested, Qingdao Youth Island has had the upper hand recently, winning two of the last four encounters.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tianjin Teda 0-0 and lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 11D 15L from the last 30 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Qingdao Youth Island have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 0-0 and lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 15D 8L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Qingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Qingdao Youth Island 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wuhan Three Towns have generated 2.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 13% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wuhan Three Towns player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
