Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Prediction, Tips & Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Shenyang Urban. Currently positioned fifth in the league, Yunnan Yukun has shown competitive form this season, securing 10 wins from 24 matches, while averaging just over two goals per game. Their goal difference of +4 reflects a solid offensive and defensive balance, which is crucial as they aim for a strong finish in the league. On the other hand, Shenyang Urban finds themselves in 12th place, having won only 7 of their 23 matches. With a goal difference of -6, their struggles are evident, particularly in their recent form, where they have secured just one win in their last five outings. This inconsistency could prove detrimental as they look to climb out of the lower half of the standings. The model indicates a probability of victory for Yunnan Yukun at approximately 58%, suggesting they are the more likely side to win this fixture. However, if Shenyang Urban can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Yunnan, they could pull off an upset. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.9% probability.
Yunnan Yukun have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Yunnan Yukun win as the most likely scoreline at 11.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Yunnan Yukun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.71 | 4.15 | 3.95 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.36 | 2.84 | |
| 1.73 | 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.30 | 3.20 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 4.23 | 4.00 | 1.36 | 3.05 | — | — | |
| 1.65 | 3.63 | 3.33 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| 1.76 | 4.28 | 4.07 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
Betano | 1.75 | 4.05 | 3.80 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Shenyang Urban stands at one win each, with no draws in their last two encounters. The matches have featured a mix of results, with Yunnan Yukun achieving a decisive 5-0 victory in their home fixture, while Shenyang Urban responded with a 2-1 win at home. This indicates that the contests have been relatively competitive, though Yunnan Yukun's recent heavy win suggests they may have the edge historically. There have been no draws, and both teams have managed to secure victories, highlighting a balanced rivalry.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 25 | LDLLW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonYunnan Yukun have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Yunnan Yukun 3-1 and beat Yunnan Yukun 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 10D 10L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Shenyang Urban have won 3 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shenyang Urban 2-1 and lost to Dalian Zhixing 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 15L from the last 33 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersYunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Shenyang Urban
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Yunnan Yukun have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Shenyang Urban 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Yunnan Yukun have generated 1.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Yunnan Yukun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
