FC Sion vs FC Thun Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Sion vs FC Thun
Match Preview
The model favours FC Sion to win this match against FC Thun, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. FC Sion currently sits in 5th place in the Super League standings, having played three matches this season. They have secured two wins and one loss, scoring eight goals while conceding six, resulting in a goal difference of +2. Their recent form shows strength, with three wins, one draw, and just one loss in their last five matches. In contrast, FC Thun is positioned 9th in the league, with one win and two losses from their three matches played. They have found the net five times but have conceded a troubling eleven goals, leading to a goal difference of -6. Their recent form has been less impressive, with only two wins in their last five matches, highlighting their struggles early in the season. According to the model, FC Sion has a strong win probability heading into this match. However, a caveat to consider is that if FC Thun manages to improve their defensive performance, they could pose a challenge. The full prediction method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilises an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
FC Sion have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 FC Sion win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Sion are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Sion vs FC Thun| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.33 | 1.42 | 2.80 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 1.66 | 4.20 | 4.33 | 1.36 | 2.71 | 1.43 | 2.58 | |
| 1.62 | 4.33 | 4.33 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.20 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.28 | 1.36 | 2.71 | 1.43 | 2.63 | |
| 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.41 | 2.63 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
Betano | 1.70 | 4.15 | 4.20 | 1.42 | 2.72 | 1.45 | 2.57 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Thun leads 8-1)FC Thun hold the edge in this fixture, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 1 FC Sion win. The record points to a tie FC Thun have controlled for years, though the draws show FC Sion have at times kept it tight.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BSC Young Boys | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  FC Basel 1893 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 4 |  FC ST. Gallen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 | FC Sion | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | LWWL |
| 6 | FC Thun | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | WLLW |
| 10 |  Servette FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | DWLL |
| 11 |  FC Vaduz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  Grasshoppers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Sion have won 10 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Lugano 1-2 and lost to Ajax 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 10D 7L from the last 34 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Thun have won 8 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Thun 3-4 and lost to Lech Poznan 7-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 5D 12L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Sion
No reported absences
FC Thun
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Sion have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; FC Thun 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Sion have generated 2.26 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Sion player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
