FC Vaduz vs Lausanne Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Vaduz vs Lausanne
Match Preview
The model favours Lausanne to win against FC Vaduz, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Lausanne currently sits in 6th position in the Super League standings, having accumulated 5 points from their first four matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced goal tally, scoring 4 and conceding 4, indicating a relatively stable performance. With one win, two draws, and one loss, they have shown resilience, particularly in their recent form, which includes two wins in their last five matches. In contrast, FC Vaduz is at the bottom of the table in 12th place, having lost all three of their matches this season without securing a single point. They have struggled defensively, conceding 8 goals while only managing to score 5, leading to a negative goal difference of -3. Their recent form reflects this struggle, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. This lack of stability poses significant challenges as they look to turn their season around. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Lausanne, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a key caveat is that FC Vaduz could benefit from playing at home, which may provide an advantage in terms of support and familiarity. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
FC Vaduz have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Vaduz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Vaduz vs Lausanne| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.62 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.65 | |
| 2.43 | 3.66 | 2.58 | 1.43 | 2.48 | 1.39 | 2.72 | |
| 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.50 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.43 | 3.66 | 2.58 | 1.43 | 2.48 | 1.39 | 2.77 | |
| 2.48 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 1.48 | 2.43 | 1.43 | 2.55 | |
Betano | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.67 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Lausanne leads 5-2)Lausanne hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws and 2 FC Vaduz wins. The record points to a tie Lausanne have controlled for years, though the draws show FC Vaduz have at times kept it tight.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BSC Young Boys | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  FC Basel 1893 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 4 |  FC ST. Gallen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | LWWL |
| 6 |  FC Thun | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lausanne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 10 |  Servette FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | DWLL |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  Grasshoppers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Vaduz have won 5 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Grasshoppers 5-2 and drew with Inter Turku 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 2D 6L from the last 19 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lausanne have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Luzern 1-0 and beat Kosova Neuchatel 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 17L from the last 33 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Vaduz
No reported absences
Lausanne
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Vaduz have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Lausanne 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Vaduz have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Vaduz player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.