Hangzhou Greentown vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win against Hangzhou Greentown, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dalian Zhixing currently sits in 3rd place in the league, having accumulated 25 points from 17 matches with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses. They have scored 25 goals but conceded 31, resulting in a goal difference of -6. Their overall performance this season suggests they are more competitive, especially given their higher points tally compared to their opponents. On the other hand, Hangzhou Greentown is positioned 11th in the league with 17 points, having won 6, drawn 4, and lost 7 of their 17 matches. Their goal-scoring record of 23 goals against 29 conceded also indicates a struggle defensively, contributing to a negative goal difference of -6. Recent form has not been encouraging, with only one win in their last five matches, reflecting difficulties in securing consistent results. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Dalian Zhixing, while also indicating that a draw is plausible at 25%. One caveat to consider is the potential for Hangzhou Greentown to exploit any defensive lapses from Dalian, which could lead to an upset. The full method of this analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Hangzhou Greentown have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Hangzhou Greentown are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.42 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.70 | |
| 1.95 | 3.78 | 3.30 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.39 | 2.72 | |
| 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 2.04 | 3.95 | 3.37 | 1.45 | 2.81 | — | — | |
| 1.99 | 3.36 | 2.87 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.01 | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.47 | 2.85 | 1.39 | 2.77 | |
| 1.94 | 3.85 | 3.25 | 1.41 | 2.63 | 1.41 | 2.63 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Superbet | 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.25 | 1.43 | 2.62 | 1.41 | 2.70 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.13 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Dalian Zhixing leads 2-0)In the last three matches between Hangzhou Greentown and Dalian Zhixing, Dalian Zhixing has won twice, with one draw and no wins for Hangzhou Greentown. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Dalian Zhixing to dominate, having secured a 3-0 victory and a narrow 1-0 win, while the draw was a low-scoring 1-1 affair. This suggests that Dalian Zhixing has been the stronger side historically, with Hangzhou Greentown struggling to find success in these encounters, particularly as they have not managed to win any of the last three meetings.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 8 | Hangzhou Greentown | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 24 | LWDWL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHangzhou Greentown have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hangzhou Greentown 3-2 and beat Hangzhou Greentown 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 12D 10L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 1-1 and lost to Hangzhou Greentown 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 14L from the last 31 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Hangzhou Greentown have generated 1.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hangzhou Greentown player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
