Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours Henan Jianye to win this match against Dalian Zhixing, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Henan Jianye currently sits in 12th place in the league standings, having won 7 of their 18 matches this season. Their goal difference stands at zero, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded, indicating a balanced performance overall. Despite a mixed form with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, their home advantage could play a crucial role in this encounter. Dalian Zhixing, on the other hand, is positioned 4th in the league and has recorded 8 wins from 17 matches. They have scored 25 goals but have also conceded 31, resulting in a negative goal difference of -6. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses, which suggests they have struggled to maintain consistency. This could be a critical factor as they face a team that is eager to improve their standings. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Henan Jianye, with a projected score of 2-1. While the home side has the advantage, it is essential to acknowledge that Dalian Zhixing's attacking capabilities could pose a significant threat. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Henan Jianye have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Henan Jianye are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.84 | 3.75 | 3.55 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.45 | 2.40 | |
| 1.84 | 3.78 | 3.68 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 1.93 | 3.94 | 3.74 | 1.53 | 2.55 | — | — | |
| 1.77 | 3.29 | 3.24 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.52 | 2.42 | 1.48 | 2.47 | |
| 1.82 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.56 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.65 | 1.55 | 2.37 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
Superbet | 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.52 | 2.37 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.35 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Dalian Zhixing leads 2-1)In the last four matches between Henan Jianye and Dalian Zhixing, the record stands at one win for Henan Jianye, one draw, and two wins for Dalian Zhixing. The scorelines indicate a mixed pattern, with Dalian Zhixing securing two narrow victories (2-1 and 1-0) and Henan Jianye achieving a heavy win (4-0) in their encounter. The draw (1-1) suggests that the teams can be evenly matched at times. Notably, Dalian Zhixing has won the last two encounters, while Henan Jianye's last victory came over two years ago.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 6 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 29 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 22 | DWWLL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHenan Jianye have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Dalian Zhixing 1-1 and drew with Dalian Zhixing 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 9L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Dalian Zhixing 1-1 and lost to Hangzhou Greentown 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 14L from the last 29 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHenan Jianye4-2-3-1Confirmed
Dalian Zhixing4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHenan Jianye
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Henan Jianye have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Henan Jianye have generated 1.18 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Henan Jianye player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
