Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Yunnan Yukun currently sits in fourth place in the league standings, having accumulated 25 points from 19 matches. Their season has been marked by a strong attack, scoring 36 goals, although they have also conceded 35. Recent form shows two wins in their last five matches, highlighting their capacity to bounce back after setbacks. In contrast, Tianjin Teda finds itself in a challenging position, ranked 15th with only 11 points from 18 matches. While they have managed to secure three wins in their last five outings, their overall goal difference of +2 indicates a lack of consistency. With 24 goals scored and 22 conceded, they have shown some defensive solidity but still struggle to convert chances into points regularly. The model gives Yunnan Yukun a strong win probability based on their current form and league position. However, Tianjin Teda's recent resurgence could pose a threat if they maintain their winning momentum. For a detailed explanation of how the prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.45 | 3.55 | 2.50 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.53 | 3.44 | 2.54 | 1.64 | 2.19 | 1.51 | 2.35 | |
| 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.65 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 2.57 | 3.58 | 2.59 | 1.64 | 2.23 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.06 | 2.47 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.38 | |
| 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.61 | 3.54 | 2.62 | 1.67 | 2.23 | 1.51 | 2.39 | |
| 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.50 | 2.33 | |
Betano | 2.47 | 3.60 | 2.52 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.32 |
Superbet | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 2.12 | 1.54 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 1.63 | 2.09 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Yunnan Yukun leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Tianjin Teda and Yunnan Yukun stands at 1 win for Tianjin Teda, 1 draw, and 2 wins for Yunnan Yukun over their last four matches. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Yunnan Yukun achieving a notable 3-0 victory and a 2-0 win, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters. The matches have generally been competitive, with one draw, but also include a narrow 1-0 win for Yunnan Yukun. Tianjin Teda's last victory came in 2026, making it their only win in this recent stretch.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 28 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 14 | WWLLD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 14 | LLLDW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTianjin Teda have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tianjin Teda 3-0 and beat Tianjin Teda 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 9D 10L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Yunnan Yukun have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shandong Luneng 4-3 and beat Suzhou Dongwu 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 9L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTianjin Teda
No reported absences
Yunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tianjin Teda have averaged 3.6 corners per match at home; Yunnan Yukun 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tianjin Teda have generated 1.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
