Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to win against Qingdao Jonoon with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Qingdao Youth Island currently sits in 5th position in the league, having accumulated 25 points from 19 matches. Their season has been characterised by a mixed bag of results, with five wins, ten draws, and four losses. The team's goal difference of -6 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, but their overall standing reflects a competitive edge in the league. On the other hand, Qingdao Jonoon finds themselves in 14th place, struggling with just 14 points from the same number of matches. Their record shows six wins, three draws, and ten losses, resulting in a similar goal difference of -6. However, their attacking output has been slightly better than Qingdao Youth Island, with 30 goals scored, although their defence has been more porous, conceding 36 goals. Their recent form is concerning, with only one win in their last five matches, which may impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model output suggests a win probability favouring Qingdao Youth Island, alongside a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Qingdao Youth Island's tendency to draw matches, which could lead to a more competitive outcome than expected. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details their in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Qingdao Youth Island have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Qingdao Youth Island clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Qingdao Youth Island are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.73 | 3.65 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.15 | |
| 1.72 | 3.82 | 4.25 | 1.63 | 2.21 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.76 | 3.93 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.27 | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.38 | 3.88 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.77 | 3.93 | 4.38 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
| 1.62 | 3.95 | 4.90 | 1.62 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
Betano | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.15 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (evenly matched 2-2)The head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Qingdao Jonoon stands at 2 wins for Qingdao Youth Island, 3 draws, and 2 wins for Qingdao Jonoon over the last 7 matches. The scorelines reveal a relatively balanced competition, with three matches ending in draws and both teams having narrow victories. However, there have also been instances of more significant scorelines, such as Qingdao Jonoon's 5-1 win. Notably, the last win for Qingdao Youth Island against Qingdao Jonoon was in 2025, indicating that their recent encounters have been more favorable for Jonoon.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Qingdao Youth Island | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 28 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 14 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 14 | LLLDW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Youth Island have won 3 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 and beat Qingdao Youth Island 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 13D 8L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Qingdao Jonoon have won 2 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 and lost to Henan Jianye 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 8D 15L from the last 30 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Qingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Youth Island have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Qingdao Jonoon 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Qingdao Youth Island have generated 1.33 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Qingdao Youth Island player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
