Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Tips & Odds
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
Match Preview
The model favours Inter Miami to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Chicago Fire. Inter Miami currently sits in second place in the standings with 31 points from 15 matches, showcasing a strong season so far with nine wins, four draws, and only two losses. Their offensive prowess is evident with 39 goals scored, averaging over two goals per match. The team's recent form has been impressive, winning four of their last five games, which bodes well for their confidence heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Chicago Fire, positioned just behind in third place with 26 points from 14 matches, has had a solid season as well, with eight wins to their name. However, they have faced some inconsistency recently, winning only three of their last five matches. While their defence has been relatively strong, conceding only 16 goals, their attacking output of 27 goals suggests they may struggle to keep pace with Inter Miami's offensive firepower. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Inter Miami, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market to watch is the over/under on total goals, which reflects the offensive capabilities of both teams. However, one potential caveat is if Chicago Fire can tighten their defence and exploit any gaps left by Inter Miami, they could pull off an upset. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Chicago Fire leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches, Chicago Fire leads the head-to-head record against Inter Miami with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. The scorelines indicate a mix of results; while Chicago Fire has secured several narrow wins, including a 3-2 and a 2-1, they also achieved a notable 5-3 victory. Inter Miami has managed to win with a score of 4-1, but overall, the matches have been competitive, with three encounters ending in draws. Chicago Fire's recent dominance suggests they have been successful in this fixture, while Inter Miami will look to improve their record.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 36 | WWWWD |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 32 | WLWDD |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 32 | WLLDD |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 31 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 27 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 11 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 7 | LDLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonInter Miami have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Philadelphia Union 6-4 and beat Portland Timbers 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 3L from the last 23 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Chicago Fire have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Montreal 0-2 and beat DC United 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 7L from the last 24 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersInter Miami
No reported absences
Chicago Fire
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
