Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest
Match Preview
The model favours Ipswich in their upcoming match against Nottingham Forest, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Ipswich currently sits in 11th place in the Premier League, having played five matches this season. Their form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses, resulting in a goal difference of -4. Notably, they have scored seven goals but conceded eleven, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities while showing some promise in attack. Nottingham Forest, positioned just behind in 13th place, has managed one win, two draws, and two losses in their five matches. They have scored four goals and conceded five, demonstrating a slightly better defensive record compared to Ipswich. However, their recent form, with only one win in the last five matches, raises concerns about their ability to secure points consistently. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Ipswich, suggesting they are the more likely victors in this matchup. However, a potential caveat is Ipswich's shaky defence, which could allow Nottingham Forest to capitalize if they find form. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Ipswich have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ipswich are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.24 | 3.52 | 2.28 | 1.77 | 2.07 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
| 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.40 | |
| 3.26 | 3.50 | 2.27 | 1.78 | 2.12 | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.16 | 1.73 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.29 | 3.58 | 2.32 | 1.83 | 2.14 | 1.59 | 2.24 | |
Betano | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Nottingham Forest leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Ipswich and Nottingham Forest, Nottingham Forest has won 6 times, Ipswich has won 2 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Nottingham Forest to secure narrow victories, with several matches ending with a one-goal difference, but they also achieved a couple of heavier wins, notably a 4-2 victory in 2025 and a 3-0 win in 2017. Ipswich's last win came in 2017, highlighting a significant gap in success against Nottingham Forest in recent encounters. Overall, the record leans in favor of Nottingham Forest, suggesting a competitive but somewhat lopsided rivalry.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | LLLWD |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonIpswich have won 9 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ipswich 2-1 and lost to Ipswich 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 10L from the last 34 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Nottingham Forest have won 8 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Nottingham Forest 3-1 and beat Aston Villa 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 11D 12L from the last 38 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersIpswich
No reported absences
Nottingham Forest
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Thomas Bramall has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Thomas Bramall to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ipswich have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Nottingham Forest 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Ipswich have generated 1.48 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ipswich player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
