KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK Prediction, Tips & Odds
KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK
Match Preview
The model favours KFUM Oslo to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Kristiansund BK. Both teams are currently struggling in the Eliteserien, sitting close to the bottom of the table with identical records of three wins, three draws, and seven losses. KFUM Oslo, in 13th place, has scored 13 goals and conceded 21, resulting in a goal difference of -8. Their recent form, however, is concerning, with four losses and just one draw in their last five matches. Kristiansund BK, occupying the 15th spot, has a similar record, having scored 11 goals and conceded 21, which gives them a goal difference of -10. Their form is slightly better than KFUM Oslo’s, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Both teams are desperate for points, but Kristiansund's struggles in both attack and defence have hindered their ability to climb the standings. The model gives KFUM Oslo a slight edge with a win probability of around 55%. However, a key caveat is their recent form, which raises questions about their current momentum. The full methodology, which employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team remains cautious, as either side could exploit the other's weaknesses.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
KFUM Oslo have been the stronger side, winning 22% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. KFUM Oslo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.40 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.71 | 3.78 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 2.29 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 1.74 | 3.92 | 4.88 | 1.62 | 2.38 | — | — | |
| 1.70 | 3.82 | 4.24 | 1.57 | 2.40 | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.40 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.75 | 3.86 | 4.61 | 1.62 | 2.32 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
| 1.64 | 3.80 | 4.80 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.68 | 2.02 | |
| 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.40 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.72 | 3.85 | 4.40 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.40 | 1.59 | 2.27 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (KFUM Oslo leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between KFUM Oslo and Kristiansund BK, KFUM Oslo has won 4 times, there have been 4 draws, and Kristiansund BK has won 2 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, highlighted by several closely contested games, including four matches that ended in draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive victories. Notably, KFUM Oslo's 5-0 win in July 2025 stands out as a significant margin, while Kristiansund BK's last win in this fixture came in November 2024, suggesting a recent trend favoring KFUM Oslo.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKFUM Oslo have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Molde 2-4 and drew with Tromso 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 14L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Kristiansund BK have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kristiansund BK 2-1 and beat Brann 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 13L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
11 playersKFUM Oslo6
Kristiansund BK5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Higraff has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Higraff to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
KFUM Oslo have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Kristiansund BK 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
KFUM Oslo have generated 1.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 22% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. KFUM Oslo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
