Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis
Match Preview
The model favours Aris Thessalonikis to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Currently positioned 7th in the Super League 1 standings, Aris has accumulated 7 points from 5 matches with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their goal-scoring has been modest, with 5 goals scored and 10 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -5. Despite a mixed start to the season, Aris has shown resilience, which could play a crucial role against Kifisia. Kifisia, sitting 9th in the league, has struggled with form, recording only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. With 4 goals for and 7 against, their goal difference stands at -3. Their recent form of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses highlights ongoing challenges, particularly in converting opportunities into points. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to secure a positive result against a team like Aris. According to the model, Aris Thessalonikis has a 37.5% win probability, while Kifisia's chances stand at 32.1%. One key market insight indicates a likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 41.7%. However, Aris's defensive vulnerabilities could pose a risk, especially if Kifisia capitalizes on any opportunities. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Kifisia have kept a clean sheet in 23% of matches. Aris Thessalonikis average 1.3 goals per game.
Kifisia manage games at home, conceding just 1.51 goals per match. Aris Thessalonikis score 1.31 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Aris Thessalonikis have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Aris Thessalonikis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.91 | 3.08 | 2.46 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.89 | 1.79 | |
| 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.38 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.93 | 3.08 | 2.48 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.89 | 1.81 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Aris Thessalonikis leads 2-0)In the last four matches between Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis, Aris has won two, Kifisia has not won any, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive dynamic, with Aris achieving narrow victories of 1-0 in both of their wins. The two draws, both ending 1-1, highlight that while Kifisia has struggled to secure wins, they have managed to earn points in tight contests. Kifisia has not won against Aris in their last four encounters, suggesting a challenging matchup for them historically.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | WWDLL |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKifisia have won 3 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Kifisia 0-2 and drew with Kifisia 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 14D 14L from the last 35 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Aris Thessalonikis have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to PAOK 2-0 and drew with Asteras Tripolis 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 7L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKifisia
No reported absences
Aris Thessalonikis
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kifisia have averaged 2.5 corners per match at home; Aris Thessalonikis 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Aris Thessalonikis have generated 1.55 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aris Thessalonikis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
