Konyaspor vs Başakşehir Prediction, Tips & Odds
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
Match Preview
The model favours Başakşehir to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Konyaspor. Başakşehir currently sits in 12th place in the Süper Lig, having accumulated 7 points from 6 matches with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their goal-scoring has been relatively strong, with 10 goals scored in total, although they have conceded 11, resulting in a goal difference of -1. This attacking capability, despite some defensive vulnerabilities, gives them a slight edge heading into this matchup. On the other hand, Konyaspor finds itself in 15th place, managing only 4 points from their 6 fixtures, which includes just 1 win alongside 1 draw and 4 losses. Their goal-scoring has been a concern, netting only 4 goals while conceding 8, leading to a goal difference of -4. Their recent form reflects struggles, with only one win in their last five matches, which could further impact their confidence as they face Başakşehir. The model suggests a win probability of 56% for Başakşehir, indicating a fairly balanced contest, but they clearly have the momentum going into the match. One caveat is that if Konyaspor can tighten their defence and capitalise on any lapses from Başakşehir, they could upset the prediction. For a full breakdown of the methodology behind this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as evaluated by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
Başakşehir have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Başakşehir are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.41 | 3.52 | 2.66 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.51 | 3.52 | 2.86 | 1.79 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.49 | 3.21 | 2.52 | 1.81 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.51 | 3.67 | 2.77 | 1.80 | 2.10 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 1.78 | 2.07 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Başakşehir leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Konyaspor and Başakşehir, Başakşehir has won 6 times, Konyaspor has claimed 3 victories, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Başakşehir has secured more wins, including four matches decided by a single goal. Konyaspor's last victory over Başakşehir came in September 2023, while Başakşehir's dominance is evident in their recent 2-0 win in February 2026. The overall record shows a slight advantage for Başakşehir, but Konyaspor has managed to keep several fixtures tight.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | WDWLL |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKonyaspor have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Konyaspor 0-0 and drew with Konyaspor 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 14L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Başakşehir have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Konyaspor 0-0 and lost to Amed 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 9L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKonyaspor4-2-3-1Confirmed
Başakşehir4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
4 playersKonyaspor3
Başakşehir1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
B. Kolak has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by B. Kolak to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Konyaspor have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Başakşehir 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Başakşehir have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Başakşehir player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
