Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Match Preview
The model favours Trabzonspor to win this match against Rizespor, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Trabzonspor currently sits in fifth place in the Süper Lig standings, having accumulated 13 points from their seven matches. Their season form has been strong, with four wins, one draw, and two losses. Notably, they have scored 16 goals while conceding only 5, resulting in a goal difference of +11, which highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. On the other hand, Rizespor is positioned tenth with 10 points from their seven games. Their form has been inconsistent, with three wins, one draw, and three losses. They have managed to score 7 goals but have conceded 9, leaving them with a negative goal difference of -2. This suggests that while they can find the net, they struggle defensively, which could be problematic against a potent Trabzonspor attack. The model projects a win probability of around 55% for Trabzonspor, with the scoreline suggesting they will edge out Rizespor. However, a potential caveat is Rizespor's ability to exploit any defensive lapses from Trabzonspor, especially if they can convert their chances effectively. The full method behind this prediction is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Trabzonspor have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Trabzonspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.48 | 3.82 | 1.90 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.91 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 3.48 | 4.03 | 1.98 | 1.58 | 2.44 | — | — | |
| 3.17 | 3.36 | 1.94 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.91 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.63 | 3.98 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 2.44 | 1.49 | 2.44 | |
Betano | 3.45 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.42 |
BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Trabzonspor leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between Rizespor and Trabzonspor stands at 4 wins for Rizespor, 1 draw, and 5 wins for Trabzonspor over the last 10 matches. This indicates a competitive rivalry, though Trabzonspor has a slight edge. The scorelines reveal a mix of tight contests and a few more decisive victories, with Trabzonspor winning 2-0 and 5-2 in separate encounters, while Rizespor's wins include a notable 3-1 victory. The lone draw was a goalless affair, suggesting that while matches can be closely contested, some results have been more one-sided. Rizespor last triumphed over Trabzonspor in November 2024.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRizespor have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rizespor 0-3 and beat Rizespor 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 12L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Trabzonspor have won 10 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat KuPS 2-4 and beat Samsunspor 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 6D 11L from the last 39 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersRizespor1
Trabzonspor7
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
H. U. Meler has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Rizespor have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Trabzonspor 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Trabzonspor have generated 1.94 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Trabzonspor player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
