Göztepe vs Çorum FK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Göztepe vs Çorum FK
Match Preview
The model favours Çorum FK to win against Göztepe, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Göztepe currently sits in 17th place in the Süper Lig standings, having struggled to find form this season. With no wins in their last six matches, they have accumulated only three points from three draws and three losses. Their goal differential of -4, with 11 goals scored and 15 conceded, indicates defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited. In contrast, Çorum FK is positioned 8th, having earned 10 points from their seven matches. Their season has been marked by a more balanced performance, with three wins, one draw, and three losses. They have scored 16 goals while conceding 12, resulting in a positive goal differential of 4. The recent form shows they have won three of their last five matches, suggesting a team that is finding its rhythm despite some inconsistencies. The model gives Çorum FK a strong win probability, reflecting their superior standings and recent form. However, Göztepe may pose a challenge if they can improve their defensive organization and capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
Göztepe have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Göztepe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Göztepe vs Çorum FK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.04 | 1.59 | 2.27 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 1.65 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 2.19 | 3.58 | 3.18 | 1.66 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.14 | 3.24 | 2.83 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.22 | 3.77 | 3.16 | 1.65 | 2.36 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
Betano | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.05 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Çorum FK leads 1-0)In the last two encounters between Göztepe and Çorum FK, the head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Göztepe, 1 draw, and 1 win for Çorum FK. The matches have been relatively close, with one draw and a narrow victory for Çorum FK, who won 2-1 in their most recent fixture. The scorelines indicate that the games have not been heavily one-sided, showcasing competitive play. Göztepe has yet to secure a win against Çorum FK in this recent sample, with their last victory against them occurring prior to these two matches.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 13 | Göztepe | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 9 | WWDDL |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGöztepe have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Göztepe 2-4 and lost to Göztepe 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 11D 7L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Çorum FK have won 4 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Gaziantep FK 0-3 and beat Samsunspor 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 4L from the last 17 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGöztepe
No reported absences
Çorum FK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Göztepe have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Çorum FK 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Göztepe have generated 1.54 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Göztepe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
