Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Match Preview
The model favours Kocaelispor to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Alanyaspor. Kocaelispor currently sits in 4th place in the league, having played 6 matches this season with 4 wins and 2 losses. Their goal difference of +3 reflects a solid offensive and defensive balance, with 7 goals scored and only 4 conceded. The team has shown consistency, winning four of their last five matches, indicating good form as they look to maintain their position near the top of the standings. On the other hand, Alanyaspor is in 5th place with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 6 matches. Their goal difference of +2, with 8 goals scored and 6 conceded, suggests they have been effective offensively but may need to tighten their defense to compete with the upper echelons of the league. While they have picked up points in recent matches, their form has been slightly less stable compared to Kocaelispor, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings. The model assigns Kocaelispor a win probability of approximately 55%, while Alanyaspor's chances sit at around 27%. A key market percentage suggests Kocaelispor’s odds are appealing for those looking to back them. However, a potential concern for Kocaelispor could be complacency, as they face a capable opponent in Alanyaspor. The full method used for this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Alanyaspor have kept a clean sheet in 24% of matches. Kocaelispor average 0.7 goals per game.
Alanyaspor manage games at home, conceding just 1.45 goals per match. Kocaelispor score 0.72 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Alanyaspor have been the stronger side, winning 24% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Alanyaspor win as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Alanyaspor clean sheets, in line with their 24% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Alanyaspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.94 | 3.24 | 3.98 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.98 | 1.72 | |
| 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.02 | 3.22 | 4.27 | 2.38 | 1.62 | — | — | |
| 1.94 | 2.97 | 3.62 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 2.02 | 3.38 | 4.15 | 2.33 | 1.66 | 1.98 | 1.74 | |
Betano | 2.02 | 3.35 | 4.25 | 2.32 | 1.65 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.13 | 3.90 | 2.19 | 1.58 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Alanyaspor leads 2-1)In the last three encounters, Alanyaspor has won 2 matches while Kocaelispor has secured 1 victory. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Alanyaspor achieving a significant 5-0 win, suggesting they can dominate when in form. Kocaelispor's win was a solid 2-0 result, demonstrating their capability as well. However, Alanyaspor has also recorded a narrow 1-0 victory in the most recent fixture, highlighting a tendency for tight matches. Overall, the record shows competitive encounters, though Alanyaspor has had the upper hand recently.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAlanyaspor have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Alanyaspor 0-0 and drew with Alanyaspor 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 11D 11L from the last 29 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Kocaelispor have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kocaelispor 2-1 and lost to Galatasaray 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 13L from the last 25 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAlanyaspor
No reported absences
Kocaelispor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Alanyaspor have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Kocaelispor 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Alanyaspor have generated 1.15 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 24% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Alanyaspor player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
