Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction, Tips & Odds
Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa
Match Preview
The model favours Kasımpaşa to win against Eyüpspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Kasımpaşa currently sits in 8th place in the league, having secured 10 points from 7 matches, with a record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Their goal difference of 0 indicates a balanced attack and defense, and they have shown resilience in recent matches, managing to avoid losses in four of their last five games. In contrast, Eyüpspor is struggling at the bottom of the table, positioned 18th with only 3 points from 6 matches, which includes just 1 win and 5 losses. Their goal scoring has been a significant issue, netting only 2 goals while conceding 16, resulting in a troubling goal difference of -14. This lack of offensive output, combined with their recent form of 1 win and 4 losses, paints a challenging picture for them heading into this fixture. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Kasımpaşa, with the projected score being 2-0. A key market percentage to note is Kasımpaşa's odds of winning by more than one goal. However, the caveat lies in Eyüpspor's potential to surprise; if they manage to tighten their defense and convert their chances, they could pose a threat. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, details on our in-house model, which evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season, are available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Eyüpspor have kept a clean sheet in 21% of matches. Kasımpaşa average 1.4 goals per game.
Eyüpspor manage games at home, conceding just 1.46 goals per match. Kasımpaşa score 1.39 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Kasımpaşa have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Kasımpaşa win as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Kasımpaşa are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.85 | 3.96 | 1.53 | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.97 | 1.73 | |
| 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 | |
| 5.94 | 4.07 | 1.56 | 2.02 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 5.13 | 3.62 | 1.52 | 1.96 | 1.86 | — | — | |
| 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.55 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 5.75 | 3.80 | 1.55 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 6.10 | 4.13 | 1.60 | 1.99 | 1.89 | 1.97 | 1.75 | |
Betano | 5.70 | 3.85 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
BetVictor | 5.75 | 3.70 | 1.53 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Kasımpaşa leads 3-1)The head-to-head record between Eyüpspor and Kasımpaşa shows Kasımpaşa winning 3 matches while Eyüpspor has secured 1 victory, with no draws in the last 4 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of results; Kasımpaşa has achieved two victories by a margin of 2-0, and a 3-0 win, suggesting a tendency for more decisive outcomes in their favor. Eyüpspor's sole win was a 2-0 result, indicating they can compete effectively, but overall, Kasımpaşa's recent dominance is evident, having won three of the last four meetings.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEyüpspor have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Eyüpspor 0-4 and lost to Eyüpspor 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 14L from the last 28 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Kasımpaşa have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Galatasaray 3-1 and beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 11D 8L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEyüpspor
No reported absences
Kasımpaşa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Eyüpspor have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Kasımpaşa 2.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Kasımpaşa have generated 1.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 2.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kasımpaşa player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
