Samsunspor vs Amed Prediction, Tips & Odds
Samsunspor vs Amed
Match Preview
The model favours Amed to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Amed currently sits in second place in the Süper Lig standings, boasting a strong season with four wins, two draws, and just one loss from their seven matches played. They have scored 17 goals while conceding only 9, resulting in a positive goal difference of 8. Their recent form is also impressive, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, which showcases their consistency and attacking prowess. In contrast, Samsunspor finds themselves in a precarious position at 16th in the league, having played the same number of matches but with a record of just one win, one draw, and five losses. They have struggled significantly, scoring only 6 goals while conceding 15, leading to a goal difference of -9. Their recent form is concerning, with five consecutive losses, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence heading into this fixture. The model predicts a win probability of approximately 70% for Amed, with the expectation of a 2-0 scoreline. However, a potential caveat could be Samsunspor's home advantage, which sometimes can lead to unexpected performances. For a detailed understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
Amed have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Amed are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Samsunspor vs Amed| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.88 | 3.44 | 2.29 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.87 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 2.94 | 3.53 | 2.35 | 1.88 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 2.77 | 3.13 | 2.23 | 1.89 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.00 | 3.58 | 2.39 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 2.92 | 3.35 | 2.35 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Samsunspor leads 2-1)In the last four matches between Samsunspor and Amed, Samsunspor has won 2, there has been 1 draw, and Amed has won 1. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Samsunspor achieving a notable 3-0 victory and a narrow 1-0 win, while Amed's sole win was a close 3-2 match. The drawn match ended in a goalless stalemate, suggesting that while both teams have seen success, the contests have generally been competitive. Amed's last win was in January 2019, indicating a slight struggle to overcome Samsunspor in recent encounters.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSamsunspor have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Samsunspor 0-3 and lost to Samsunspor 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 13L from the last 34 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Amed have won 2 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-2 and drew with Kasımpaşa 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 2L from the last 17 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSamsunspor
No reported absences
Amed
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Samsunspor have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Amed 6.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Amed have generated 2.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Amed player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
