Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Prediction, Tips & Odds
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Match Preview
The model favours Konyaspor to win this match against Gençlerbirliği S.K. with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Konyaspor currently sits in 15th place in the league, having played 7 matches this season. Their form has been modest, with one win, two draws, and four losses, resulting in 5 points. They have scored 4 goals while conceding 8, which gives them a goal difference of -4. Despite struggling for consistency, Konyaspor will be looking to build on their recent form of one win and three draws in their last five matches. On the other hand, Gençlerbirliği S.K. is positioned 13th with 8 points from 7 matches, having recorded two wins, two draws, and three losses. They have scored 7 goals but have also conceded 15, leading to a goal difference of -8. Their recent form is concerning, as they have not won in their last five matches, recording four losses and one draw. This lack of momentum could be a significant factor as they face a Konyaspor side eager to secure a vital home win. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for Konyaspor. One key market percentage to note is that Konyaspor is favoured to win by a narrow margin. However, Konyaspor's inability to convert chances into goals could pose a risk if they fail to capitalize early. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Konyaspor manage games at home, conceding just 1.21 goals per match. Gençlerbirliği S.K. score 0.97 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
Konyaspor have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Konyaspor win as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Konyaspor clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Konyaspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.83 | 3.52 | 4.10 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.55 | 4.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — | |
| 1.84 | 3.17 | 3.71 | 2.04 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.91 | 3.66 | 4.27 | 2.07 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.05 | 1.82 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)In the last 10 matches between Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K., each team has won 3 times, with 3 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of tight contests and a few one-sided results, with Konyaspor's 3-0 victory and Gençlerbirliği's 3-0 win standing out as the most decisive. Additionally, four of the matches ended in draws or scoreless ties, suggesting that when these teams meet, the matches can often be closely contested. The most recent victory for Gençlerbirliği came in 2021, highlighting a potential shift in competitive balance in recent encounters.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 15 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKonyaspor have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Başakşehir 0-0 and drew with Palestine 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 13L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Başakşehir 4-0 and lost to Trabzonspor 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 16L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKonyaspor
No reported absences
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Konyaspor have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Konyaspor have generated 0.97 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Konyaspor player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
