Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK
Match Preview
The model favours Gaziantep FK to win against Erzurumspor FK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Gaziantep currently sits in 10th place in the Süper Lig, having played six matches this season. With two wins, two draws, and two losses, they have managed to score seven goals while conceding the same number. Their recent form shows some improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, indicating a potential upward trend. Erzurumspor FK is positioned 12th, having played seven matches, which includes two wins, two draws, and three losses. Their goal difference is concerning, with only three goals scored and eleven conceded. This poor defensive record may hinder their ability to secure points, despite their recent form, which includes two wins and two draws in the last five matches. The model gives Gaziantep FK a strong win probability, reflecting their slightly better league position and overall form. However, one caveat is that if Erzurumspor can tighten their defence and exploit any lapses in Gaziantep's play, they could pull off an upset. For a detailed view of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Gaziantep FK manage games at home, conceding just 1.55 goals per match. Erzurumspor FK score 1.18 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.
Gaziantep FK have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Gaziantep FK clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Gaziantep FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.22 | 2.93 | 3.64 | 2.11 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.86 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.73 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 2.99 | 3.73 | 2.11 | 1.74 | — | — | |
| 2.16 | 2.99 | 2.99 | 2.12 | 1.71 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.30 | 3.03 | 3.76 | 2.19 | 1.74 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.13 | 3.20 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Erzurumspor FK leads 2-0)The head-to-head record between Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK shows 0 wins for Gaziantep, 3 draws, and 2 wins for Erzurumspor. This indicates a slight edge for Erzurumspor, particularly highlighted by their two victories, including a narrow 3-2 win in their most recent encounter. The matches have been relatively tight, with three draws and a low scoring pattern, as evidenced by the presence of two 0-0 and 1-1 scorelines. Gaziantep has not won against Erzurumspor in their last five meetings, making it a challenging matchup historically for them.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 14 | Gaziantep FK | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGaziantep FK have won 2 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Gaziantep FK 0-3 and drew with Gaziantep FK 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 13L from the last 29 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Erzurumspor FK have won 2 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Alanyaspor 0-0 and lost to Beşiktaş 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 3L from the last 17 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGaziantep FK
No reported absences
Erzurumspor FK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Gaziantep FK have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Erzurumspor FK 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Gaziantep FK have generated 0.93 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gaziantep FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
