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Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Prediction, Tips & Odds

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray

Süper LigRegular Season - 10
Konyaspor
#16 · Süper Lig
LDDDW
VS
Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya
Galatasaray
#2 · Süper Lig
WWLWD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 (implied 60.9%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 63.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.58). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.4% vs 60.9%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Galatasaray to win against Konyaspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Galatasaray's strong position at the top of the league, with 16 points from seven matches, highlights their solid start to the season. They have scored 16 goals, showcasing their attacking prowess, while conceding 11, which indicates some defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form includes two wins, a draw, and two losses, but they remain a formidable opponent. In contrast, Konyaspor sits in 16th position with only five points from their seven matches. Their season has been challenging, with just one win, two draws, and four losses. They have struggled offensively, scoring only four goals, while their defence has also been tested, conceding eight. Their recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss suggests they are finding it difficult to secure victories. The model indicates a high probability of a Galatasaray win, reflecting their current standings and overall performance. However, Konyaspor might present an unexpected challenge if they manage to tighten their defence and convert scoring opportunities. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines their in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Konyaspor Win26%4.84
Draw20%4.14
Galatasaray Win54%1.64
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6458.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6458.3%

Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Konyaspor 1-1 Galatasaray
7.7712.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Galatasaray -0.0
1.2548%

Galatasaray have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.77
12.9%
1-2
7.97
12.6%
0-1
8.03
12.5%
0-2
8.65
11.6%
1-3
12.17
8.2%
0-0
13.03
7.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Konyaspor
-0.0
3.54
Galatasaray
+0.0
1.25

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Galatasaray are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
4.754.101.611.612.231.632.11
1xBet
4.964.281.681.672.311.632.14
Betano
4.804.051.621.652.301.672.12

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
37.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XKonyaspor or Draw
46%2.26
12Konyaspor or Galatasaray
80%1.23
X2Draw or Galatasaray
74%1.19

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Galatasaray leads 7-2)
2 Konyaspor1 Draw7 Galatasaray
21 Feb
Konyaspor
2-0
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
Sept 25
Galatasaray
3-1
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Apr 25
Konyaspor
1-5
Galatasaray
Türkiye Kupası
Feb 25
Galatasaray
0-0
Konyaspor
Türkiye Kupası
Jan 25
Galatasaray
1-0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Aug 24
Konyaspor
1-2
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
May 24
Konyaspor
1-3
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
Jan 24
Galatasaray
3-0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Mar 23
Konyaspor
2-1
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
Sept 22
Galatasaray
2-1
Konyaspor
Süper Lig

In the last 10 matches between Konyaspor and Galatasaray, Galatasaray has won 7 times, while Konyaspor has secured 2 victories, with 1 match ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable trend for Galatasaray, with several matches featuring heavy wins, including a notable 5-1 victory. Konyaspor's two wins were both narrow, with a 2-0 win and a 2-1 win, suggesting they have struggled to dominate in this fixture. The last time Konyaspor triumphed was in March 2023, highlighting a recent competitive edge for Galatasaray.

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Amed
962120101020
WWDWW
2
Galatasaray
86111711619
WWLWW
3
Fenerbahçe
85122261616
WWWDL
4
Trabzonspor
85121851316
WWWLW
5
Kasımpaşa
9441139416
WWLDW
6
Beşiktaş
85031610615
LWLWW
16
Konyaspor
812549-55
LDDWL
17
Samsunspor
9117821-134
LLLLL
18
Eyüpspor
9108223-213
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
KonyasporHome
1W1D2L
4 playedGF 2 · GA 31.00 pts/game
GalatasarayAway
3W0D1L
4 playedGF 8 · GA 62.25 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
KonyasporGalatasaray
1.2Goals p.g.2.05
1.17Goals conceded p.g.1.66
37%Clean sheets21%
37%Win rate55%
2.37Avg goals in match3.71
0.98xG per game1.90
0.11xGA per game-0.23
45%Possession %55%
4.1Shots on target / game5.8
3.4Corners per game6.0
Konyaspor
Recent Form

Konyaspor have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Konyaspor 0-0 and drew with Konyaspor 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 14L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: KonyasporAll competitions
17 Oct
Amed
1-0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
11 Oct
Konyaspor
0-0
Başakşehir
Süper Lig
30 Sept
Konyaspor
2-2
Palestine
Friendlies
18 Sept
Kasımpaşa
0-0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1-0
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1-0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
13
Win
37%
8
Draw
23%
14
Lost
40%
Galatasaray
Recent Form

Galatasaray have won 10 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Galatasaray 2-4 and beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 21W 4D 13L from the last 38 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: GalatasarayAll competitions
21 Oct
Lille
2-4
Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
17 Oct
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0-1
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
13 Oct
Galatasaray
1-4
Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3-1
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
02 Oct
Pendikspor
3-3
Galatasaray
Friendlies Clubs
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4-0
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
21
Win
55%
4
Draw
11%
13
Lost
34%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Konyaspor

No reported absences

Galatasaray

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (58.3%)
Both Teams Score1.64 (58.2%)
Value Bets
Konyaspor Win4.84 (25.7%)
Galatasaray Win1.64 (54%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.28 (41.7%)
BTTS No2.12 (41.8%)
Speculative
Draw4.14 (20.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Konyaspor have averaged 3.4 corners per match at home; Galatasaray 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Galatasaray have generated 1.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Galatasaray player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.