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Amed vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Tips & Odds

Amed vs Eyüpspor

Süper LigRegular Season - 10
Amed
#1 · Süper Lig
WWDWW
VS
Diyarbakir Stadium
Eyüpspor
#18 · Süper Lig
LLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 (implied 61.1%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 63.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.57). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.6% vs 61.1%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Amed to win against Eyüpspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Amed currently sits in second place in the Süper Lig standings, boasting an impressive record of five wins, two draws, and just one loss from their eight matches. They have scored 18 goals while conceding only 9, resulting in a goal difference of +9. Their recent form has been solid, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a strong attacking presence and a resilient defense. On the other side, Eyüpspor is struggling significantly this season, positioned at the bottom of the league table in 18th place. They have managed to secure only one win from eight matches, accompanied by seven losses. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, with just two goals scored and an alarming 22 goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -20. Their form has been particularly concerning, as they have lost all of their last five games, highlighting their ongoing difficulties both in attack and defense. The model output suggests a high win probability for Amed, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is Eyüpspor's need to turn their fortunes around; if they can somehow find their rhythm, it could lead to an unexpected outcome. For a detailed explanation of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Amed Win75%1.30
Draw17%5.32
Eyüpspor Win8%9.17
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.9650.5%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6458.0%

Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Amed 2-0 Eyüpspor
6.3715.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Amed -0.0
1.0569%

Amed have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
6.37
15.7%
1-0
6.88
14.5%
2-1
8.07
12.5%
3-0
8.28
12.1%
1-1
9.71
10.3%
3-1
10.95
9.2%

Our model projects a 2-0 Amed win as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Amed clean sheets, in line with their 37% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Amed
-0.0
1.05
Eyüpspor
+0.0
6.81

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Amed are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Amed vs Eyüpspor
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.295.259.101.622.221.951.74
Pinnacle
1.295.669.451.632.29——
William Hill
1.305.008.00——1.911.80
1xBet
1.325.7810.001.682.301.951.76
Betano
1.325.409.501.652.302.051.72
BetVictor
1.294.809.001.602.151.951.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAmed or Draw
92%1.06
12Amed or Eyüpspor
83%1.14
X2Draw or Eyüpspor
25%3.43

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (Eyüpspor leads 1-0)
0 Amed1 Draw1 Eyüpspor
Mar 19
Eyüpspor
3-1
Amed
2. Lig
Nov 18
Amed
1-1
Eyüpspor
2. Lig

In the last two matches between Amed and Eyüpspor, Eyüpspor has won once, Amed has yet to secure a victory, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitiveness and a slight edge for Eyüpspor, with their 3-1 victory showcasing a more decisive win, while the 1-1 draw reflects a tightly contested match. Amed has not won against Eyüpspor in this recent sample, highlighting a challenge for them in breaking this pattern.

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Amed
962120101020
WWDWW
2
Galatasaray
86111711619
WWLWW
3
Fenerbahçe
85122261616
WWWDL
4
Trabzonspor
85121851316
WWWLW
5
Kasımpaşa
9441139416
WWLDW
6
Beşiktaş
85031610615
LWLWW
16
Konyaspor
812549-55
LDDWL
17
Samsunspor
9117821-134
LLLLL
18
Eyüpspor
9108223-213
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AmedHome
5W0D0L
5 playedGF 14 · GA 33.00 pts/game
EyüpsporAway
0W0D4L
4 playedGF 0 · GA 140.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AmedEyüpspor
2.32Goals p.g.1
1.05Goals conceded p.g.1.67
37%Clean sheets20%
58%Win rate27%
3.37Avg goals in match2.67
2.13xG per game0.95
-1.07xGA per game-0.31
50%Possession %45%
5.6Shots on target / game3.9
6.3Corners per game3.6
Amed
Recent Form

Amed have won 8 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Amed 1-0 and beat Amed 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 2L from the last 19 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AmedAll competitions
24 Oct
Samsunspor
1-2
Amed
Süper Lig
17 Oct
Amed
1-0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
10 Oct
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2-2
Amed
Süper Lig
20 Sept
Amed
3-2
Beşiktaş
Süper Lig
13 Sept
Amed
5-0
Başakşehir
Süper Lig
06 Sept
Kasımpaşa
2-2
Amed
Süper Lig
11
Win
58%
6
Draw
32%
2
Lost
11%
Eyüpspor
Recent Form

Eyüpspor have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Erzurumspor FK 2-0 and lost to Fenerbahçe 8-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 16L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: EyüpsporAll competitions
24 Oct
Eyüpspor
0-1
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
17 Oct
Erzurumspor FK
2-0
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
12 Oct
Eyüpspor
0-4
Göztepe
Süper Lig
20 Sept
Fenerbahçe
8-0
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
12 Sept
Eyüpspor
0-2
Rizespor
Süper Lig
06 Sept
Çorum FK
3-0
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
8
Win
27%
6
Draw
20%
16
Lost
53%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Amed

No reported absences

Eyüpspor

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Amed Win1.30 (75.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (58%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.25 (42%)
Both Teams Score1.96 (50.5%)
BTTS No1.75 (49.5%)
Speculative
Draw5.32 (16.8%)
Eyüpspor Win9.17 (7.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Amed have averaged 6.3 corners per match at home; Eyüpspor 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Amed have generated 2.13 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Amed player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.