Levante vs Athletic Club Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levante vs Athletic Club
Match Preview
The model favours Athletic Club to win, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Athletic Club currently sits in 9th place in La Liga, having played four matches this season. Their record shows two wins and two losses, with a total of six goals scored and five conceded, resulting in a goal difference of +1. Their recent form indicates a strong start, despite their last three matches resulting in losses, suggesting that they may be due for a turnaround. In contrast, Levante occupies the 10th position, also with four matches played, but their record includes one win, two draws, and one loss. They have scored five goals and conceded five, resulting in a goal difference of 0. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have been competitive, their inability to secure consistent results could hinder their performance against a team like Athletic Club. The model gives Athletic Club a win probability of approximately 55%, projecting a score of 2-1. One key market to consider is Athletic Club's potential to score at least two goals, given their offensive capabilities. However, a caveat exists as Levante's home advantage could challenge Athletic Club's plans, especially if they manage to exploit defensive lapses. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analyzed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.3% probability.
Athletic Club have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Athletic Club are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levante vs Athletic Club| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.42 | 3.42 | 2.18 | 1.96 | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.98 | |
| 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 3.71 | 3.17 | 2.23 | 1.98 | 1.91 | — | — | |
| 2.99 | 3.02 | 2.15 | 1.97 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 3.52 | 3.52 | 2.24 | 2.02 | 1.92 | 1.74 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 3.45 | 3.30 | 2.18 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Athletic Club leads 7-0)In the last 10 matches between Levante and Athletic Club, Athletic Club has won 7 times, Levante has not won, and there have been 3 draws. This record indicates a clear dominance by Athletic Club, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure several decisive victories, including a 4-2 win and multiple 2-0 results. The scorelines suggest a mix of competitive and one-sided encounters, with only 3 matches ending in draws. Levante last managed to avoid defeat against Athletic Club in 2021, making it over two years since they earned a point in this fixture.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | DDDW |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | DDLWL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 | LDLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLevante have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Levante 3-3 and lost to Levante 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 12L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Athletic Club have won 10 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Athletic Club 0-0 and beat Real Sociedad 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 16L from the last 37 games (41% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedLevante4-3-3Confirmed
Athletic Club4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersLevante3
Athletic Club5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Levante have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Athletic Club 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Athletic Club have generated 1.37 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Athletic Club player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
