Molde vs Brann Prediction, Tips & Odds
Molde vs Brann
Match Preview
The model favours Molde to win against Brann, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned fifth in the league, Molde has secured six wins from their 11 matches, contributing to a goal difference of +5. Their season has seen some ups and downs, but they have shown resilience, especially at home, where they have a solid record. Despite recent inconsistency, the team's overall performance suggests they can capitalize on their attacking potential, having scored 18 goals this season. On the other hand, Brann finds themselves in a challenging position at 11th, with only four wins from 12 matches. Their defensive record shows some vulnerability, having conceded 20 goals, which puts them at a goal difference of just +4. With a recent form of only one win in their last five matches, Brann will need to find a way to improve their consistency to pose a serious threat to Molde. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Molde, with a projected score of 2-1. While Molde's home advantage and overall position in the league suggest a favorable outcome, the caveat lies in their recent form, which has been volatile. If Brann can exploit any defensive lapses from Molde, the match could be closer than anticipated. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Molde have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Molde are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Molde vs Brann| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.38 | 2.75 | |
| 2.08 | 3.84 | 3.02 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.39 | 2.72 | |
| 2.05 | 3.90 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 2.14 | 4.09 | 3.12 | 1.45 | 2.85 | — | — | |
| 2.08 | 3.69 | 2.95 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 2.15 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.13 | 3.93 | 3.09 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.39 | 2.77 | |
| 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.05 | 1.46 | 2.50 | 1.42 | 2.60 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.05 | 1.47 | 2.57 | 1.42 | 2.67 |
Superbet | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.54 | 2.37 | 1.48 | 2.47 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Molde leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between Molde and Brann, Molde has won 8 times, Brann has won once, and there have been no draws. This record indicates a strong dominance by Molde, particularly highlighted by several significant scorelines, including two 4-0 victories. While Brann managed a narrow 3-2 win in October 2023, their overall results have been largely one-sided, with Molde securing heavy wins more frequently. Brann's last victory in this matchup came in 2023, making it a relatively recent win, but their overall head-to-head performance suggests challenges in consistently competing with Molde.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 35 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Viking | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 5 | Molde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 | WDWWW |
| 8 | Brann | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 19 | LWWLL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Start | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 10 | WLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonMolde have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Molde 1-2 and lost to Molde 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 10L from the last 26 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Brann have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Universitatea Cluj 2-2 and beat Molde 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 14L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersMolde5
Brann3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Molde have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Brann 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Molde have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Molde player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
