OFI vs PAOK Prediction, Tips & Odds
OFI vs PAOK
Match Preview
The model favours PAOK to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in fourth place, PAOK has made a strong start to the season, winning four of their five matches. Their offensive capabilities are evident, having scored 12 goals while conceding only five, resulting in a goal difference of plus seven. This attacking prowess, combined with their consistency, makes them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, OFI is positioned sixth in the league table, having played six matches with three wins, one draw, and two losses. Their goal tally stands at eight goals scored and seven conceded, leading to a modest goal difference of plus one. While they have shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches, they will need to step up their performance to challenge a team like PAOK. According to the model, PAOK has a 52.0% win probability, while OFI's chances stand at 22.6%. The projected score reflects a competitive match, with a likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 46.5% and both teams to score at 48.5%. One caveat for PAOK is the potential for complacency given their strong start, which could lead to unexpected challenges. The full method of our analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
OFI manage games at home, conceding just 1.35 goals per match. PAOK score 1.67 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Our model projects a 0-1 PAOK win as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Best Betting Odds
OFI vs PAOK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
Betano | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.83 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.82 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (PAOK leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between OFI and PAOK, the record stands at OFI 3 wins, 3 draws, and PAOK 4 wins. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three draws. However, PAOK has achieved some notable victories, including a 5-0 win, which highlights their potential to dominate in certain fixtures. OFI's most recent win was in April 2026, while PAOK's last victory was in January 2026. Overall, the encounters have shown a mix of tight contests and more one-sided results, suggesting a balanced but slightly favorable record for PAOK.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 | PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 | OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOFI have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with OFI 2-2 and beat OFI 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 11L from the last 34 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
PAOK have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat PAOK 1-3 and beat Atromitos 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 10L from the last 36 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOFI
No reported absences
PAOK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
OFI have averaged 1.5 corners per match at home; PAOK 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
PAOK have generated 1.85 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. PAOK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
