PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 Prediction, Tips & Odds
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908
Match Preview
The model favours PAOK to win against Iraklis 1908, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. PAOK currently sits in second place in the Super League 1 standings with 12 points from five matches, boasting an impressive record of four wins and only one loss. Their goal difference of +7 highlights their offensive capabilities, as they have scored 12 goals while conceding only 5. This strong start to the season reflects their overall form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. On the other hand, Iraklis 1908 is positioned eighth in the league with just 6 points from their five matches. Their record includes only one win, alongside three draws and one loss. With a goal difference of -2, they have struggled offensively, netting only 4 goals while allowing 6. Their recent form shows only one win in the last five matches, which may hinder their confidence going into this matchup. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 70% for PAOK, with a projected score of 2-0. One caveat to consider is that if Iraklis can tighten their defence and find a way to convert their chances, they could potentially upset the odds. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
PAOK have kept a clean sheet in 39% of matches. Iraklis 1908 average 0.9 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
PAOK have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 PAOK win as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature PAOK clean sheets, in line with their 39% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. PAOK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.26 | 5.10 | 11.75 | 1.63 | 2.19 | 2.13 | 1.62 | |
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 4.80 | 12.00 | — | — | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 1.25 | 5.25 | 11.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 1.27 | 5.10 | 11.60 | 1.63 | 2.19 | 2.13 | 1.64 | |
Betano | 1.28 | 5.60 | 11.25 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 | PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 | WDDWD |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPAOK have won 10 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat PAOK 2-0 and drew with PAOK 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 10L from the last 36 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Iraklis 1908 have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Iraklis 1908 0-0 and beat Asteras Tripolis 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 4L from the last 15 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPAOK
No reported absences
Iraklis 1908
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
PAOK have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; Iraklis 1908 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
PAOK have generated 1.85 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. PAOK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
