Preston vs West Brom Prediction, Tips & Odds
Preston vs West Brom
Match Preview
The model favours West Brom to win this match against Preston, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. West Brom currently sits in 9th place in the Championship, having played 9 matches this season. Their form has been mixed, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, but they have shown resilience, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 9. Their positive goal difference of 1 indicates they are capable of both attacking and defending effectively. Preston, on the other hand, is struggling at the bottom of the table in 24th place. They have managed just 1 win, 1 draw, and 7 losses from their 9 matches, resulting in a total of 4 points. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, with only 8 goals scored and 16 conceded, leading to a goal difference of -8. Recent form has not been encouraging, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, which raises concerns about their ability to turn things around. According to the model, West Brom has a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-0. A potential caveat to this prediction is Preston's home advantage, which can sometimes lead to unexpected results. The full methodology employed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team relies on an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
West Brom have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. West Brom are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Preston vs West Brom| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.62 | 3.52 | 1.94 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 3.63 | 3.69 | 1.98 | 1.86 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 3.26 | 3.06 | 1.94 | 1.90 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.62 | 3.52 | 1.96 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.70 | 2.04 | |
Betano | 3.65 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.93 | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (West Brom leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Preston and West Brom, West Brom has the upper hand with 6 wins, while Preston has won 2 times and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency towards West Brom's dominance, with several heavy wins, including a 4-0 victory and a 3-0 win. The matches have generally been competitive, with a mix of narrow results, such as the 1-0 and 2-1 games. Preston's last victory over West Brom was in January 2022, highlighting a stretch of recent difficulties against this opponent.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 22 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 | WWWDW |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | WWLLD |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 22 |  Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | LDWDL |
| 23 |  Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPreston have won 4 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Preston 0-1 and lost to Preston 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 7D 24L from the last 36 games (14% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
West Brom have won 9 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Wrexham 1-2 and lost to Wolves 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 9L from the last 36 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPreston
No reported absences
West Brom
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Elliot Bell has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Elliot Bell to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Preston have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; West Brom 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
West Brom have generated 1.37 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. West Brom player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
