Remo vs Gremio Prediction, Tips & Odds
Remo vs Gremio
Match Preview
The model favours Remo to win with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Remo currently sits in 19th place in the Serie A standings, having struggled throughout the season with only five wins from 28 matches. Their goal difference of -15 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded 47 goals while scoring just 32. The team’s recent form is concerning, with five consecutive losses, indicating a downturn in confidence and performance. On the other hand, Gremio, positioned just above Remo in 17th place, has also had a challenging season with seven wins in 28 matches. With 30 goals scored and 38 conceded, they have a slightly better goal difference of -8. Gremio's recent form shows some signs of improvement, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. However, consistency has been an issue, and they will need to find a way to turn their performances around to secure vital points. The model gives Remo a win probability of 36.8%, while Gremio's win probability stands at 34.5%. The potential for over 2.5 goals in this match is at 46.4%, with both teams showing a tendency to concede. A caveat to consider is Remo's current losing streak, which could further impact their morale. The full prediction methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Remo manage games at home, conceding just 1.45 goals per match. Gremio score 1.29 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
Remo have been the stronger side, winning 24% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Remo clean sheets, in line with their 14% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Remo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Remo vs Gremio| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.96 | 3.48 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.69 | 2.02 | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.96 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 1.93 | 3.17 | 3.39 | 1.90 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.02 | 3.59 | 3.72 | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.69 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Remo and Gremio shows 0 wins for Remo, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Gremio. Their only encounter ended in a goalless draw, indicating a tightly contested match with no clear advantage for either side. The lack of goals suggests a defensive approach from both teams, and with only one match played, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions about their rivalry. The absence of victories for either team highlights an evenly matched dynamic, at least in this limited sample.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRemo have won 6 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Santos 1-2 and lost to Flamengo 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 14D 18L from the last 42 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Gremio have won 3 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 9 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Botafogo 3-2 and drew with Internacional 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 16D 15L from the last 49 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
17 playersRemo8
Gremio9
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Davi de Oliveira Lacerda to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Remo have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Gremio 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Remo have generated 1.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 24% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Remo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
