Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK
Match Preview
The model favours Rosenborg to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Kristiansund BK. Currently sitting in 15th place, Rosenborg has struggled this season with only two wins from their eleven matches. Their goal-scoring has been particularly low, netting just nine goals, which underscores their difficulties in converting chances into points. However, they have shown some improvement recently, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting a potential upturn in form. On the other hand, Kristiansund BK is positioned just above Rosenborg in 14th place, with three wins in their eleven matches. Their goal difference is slightly better than Rosenborg's, but they too have faced challenges, conceding 18 goals while scoring 11. Their recent form reflects a downward trend, having lost three of their last five matches, which could impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model gives Rosenborg a win probability of 57.4%, with a 23.6% chance of a draw and a 19.0% probability for a Kristiansund BK victory. One key market to note is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals, sitting at 56.8%. However, a potential caveat for Rosenborg is their inconsistent scoring, which could lead to a tighter match than anticipated. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model focused on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rosenborg clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 1.59 | 4.05 | 5.10 | 1.63 | 2.23 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.63 | 4.31 | 5.28 | 1.65 | 2.31 | — | — | |
| 1.58 | 3.83 | 4.78 | 1.63 | 2.29 | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.63 | 4.14 | 5.22 | 1.65 | 2.26 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 1.61 | 4.00 | 4.90 | 1.61 | 2.15 | 1.66 | 2.07 | |
| 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.80 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 1.60 | 4.05 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 1.63 | 4.00 | 4.80 | 1.64 | 2.17 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.59 | 2.16 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rosenborg leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK, Rosenborg has won 4 times, Kristiansund BK has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, including a notable 4-4 draw in 2022. Rosenborg has achieved a couple of heavy wins, such as a 4-0 victory in December 2024, while Kristiansund BK's most recent win was a more narrow 4-1 victory in June 2025. Overall, the results show a balance, but Rosenborg has had a slight edge historically.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Rosenborg | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 | LWWWD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRosenborg have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Fredrikstad 4-0 and lost to Manchester United 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 12L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Kristiansund BK have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kristiansund BK 2-1 and lost to Rosenborg 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 14L from the last 28 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRosenborg4-4-2Confirmed
Kristiansund BK4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersRosenborg3
Kristiansund BK4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Lien has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Rosenborg have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; Kristiansund BK 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
