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Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

Super League 1Regular Season - 8
Volos NFC
#14 · Super League 1
LLLLD
VS
Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos
Panathinaikos
#1 · Super League 1
LWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Panathinaikos to Win
Strong away form and superior underlying numbers over Volos NFC make Panathinaikos the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.40
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.38 (implied 72.5%) for Panathinaikos to Win. Our experts calculate a 75.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.33). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (75.0% vs 72.5%), driven by Panathinaikos's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Panathinaikos to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently sitting at the top of the Super League 1 table, Panathinaikos has enjoyed a strong start to the season with five wins from their six matches, accumulating 15 points. Their offensive output has been solid, with 12 goals scored and only three conceded, resulting in a goal difference of +9. This suggests they are not only effective in attack but also resilient defensively. In contrast, Volos NFC is struggling, positioned 14th with no wins in their first six matches. Their record of two draws and four losses, along with a goal difference of -6, highlights significant issues both offensively and defensively. With only six goals scored and 12 conceded, Volos has been unable to find consistency or form, which is evident from their last five matches where they have failed to secure a victory. The model gives Panathinaikos a win probability of 66.8%, while Volos NFC’s chances sit at just 12%. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is at 53.8%. However, one caveat is that football can be unpredictable, and an early goal for Volos could shift the dynamics of the game. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Volos NFC Win17%7.78
Draw19%4.38
Panathinaikos Win64%1.38
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7650.4%

Volos NFC have kept a clean sheet in 3% of matches. Panathinaikos average 1.6 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7553.8%

Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Volos NFC 0-2 Panathinaikos
6.4915.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Panathinaikos -0.0
1.0958%

Panathinaikos have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
6.49
15.4%
0-1
6.58
15.2%
1-2
7.96
12.6%
1-1
8.19
12.3%
0-3
9.13
11.0%
0-0
11.75
8.6%

Our model projects a 0-2 Panathinaikos win as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Volos NFC
-0.0
5.98
Panathinaikos
+0.0
1.09
Volos NFC
-1.5
13.00
Panathinaikos
+1.5
2.20

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Panathinaikos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
8.004.451.381.742.021.951.74
Betfair
7.504.401.33————
William Hill
7.004.001.40——1.951.80
Bet365
8.004.331.381.752.052.001.75
1xBet
7.954.451.391.742.021.951.76
Betano
8.254.651.401.782.102.001.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XVolos NFC or Draw
36%2.91
12Volos NFC or Panathinaikos
81%1.19
X2Draw or Panathinaikos
83%1.07

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Panathinaikos leads 8-1)
1 Volos NFC1 Draw8 Panathinaikos
Dec 25
Panathinaikos
2-1
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Nov 25
Volos NFC
1-0
Panathinaikos
Super League 1
Feb 25
Panathinaikos
2-1
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Nov 24
Volos NFC
0-1
Panathinaikos
Super League 1
Dec 23
Volos NFC
0-3
Panathinaikos
Super League 1
Aug 23
Panathinaikos
3-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Apr 23
Volos NFC
0-2
Panathinaikos
Super League 1
Apr 23
Panathinaikos
0-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Feb 23
Panathinaikos
2-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Jan 23
Volos NFC
0-2
Panathinaikos
Cup

In the last 10 matches between Volos NFC and Panathinaikos, Panathinaikos has won 8 times, Volos NFC has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided rivalry, with Panathinaikos frequently achieving narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but also securing heavier victories, including 3-0 and 2-0 scores. Volos NFC's only win in this period came in a close 1-0 match, while their last victory over Panathinaikos dates back to a significant gap, emphasizing their struggles against this opponent.

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Panathinaikos
6501123915
LWWWW
2
AEK Athens FC
64201631314
WWDWD
3
Olympiakos Piraeus
641152313
WWLDW
4
PAOK
5401125712
WWLWW
5
Aris Thessalonikis
6312812-410
WDLLW
6
OFI
631287110
LDWWL
12
Atromitos
602459-42
LLDDL
13
Levadiakos
6015011-111
LLDLL
14
Volos NFC
6024612-6
LLLDD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Volos NFCHome
0W2D1L
3 playedGF 3 · GA 40.67 pts/game
PanathinaikosAway
2W0D1L
3 playedGF 3 · GA 12.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Volos NFCPanathinaikos
1.03Goals p.g.1.61
2Goals conceded p.g.1
3%Clean sheets34%
10%Win rate53%
3.03Avg goals in match2.61
0.85xG per game1.84
-0.43xGA per game0.62
48%Possession %57%
3.0Shots on target / game7.5
3.1Corners per game6.4
Volos NFC
Recent Form

Volos NFC have won 1 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Volos NFC 1-2 and drew with Volos NFC 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 8D 20L from the last 31 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Volos NFCAll competitions
11 Oct
Aris Thessalonikis
3-2
Volos NFC
Super League 1
20 Sept
Volos NFC
1-2
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
13 Sept
Kalamata
3-1
Volos NFC
Super League 1
08 Sept
Olympiakos Piraeus
3-2
Volos NFC
Cup
05 Sept
Volos NFC
1-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
01 Sept
Volos NFC
2-2
Kalamata
Cup
3
Win
10%
8
Draw
26%
20
Lost
65%
Panathinaikos
Recent Form

Panathinaikos have won 12 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Panathinaikos 1-0 and beat Kalamata 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 10D 8L from the last 38 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PanathinaikosAll competitions
11 Oct
Olympiakos Piraeus
1-0
Panathinaikos
Super League 1
20 Sept
Kalamata
0-1
Panathinaikos
Super League 1
16 Sept
Kifisia
0-2
Panathinaikos
Cup
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panetolikos
Super League 1
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3-1
Kifisia
Super League 1
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3-1
PAOK
Super League 1
20
Win
53%
10
Draw
26%
8
Lost
21%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Volos NFC

No reported absences

Panathinaikos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Panathinaikos Win1.38 (64.2%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (53.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.05 (46.2%)
Both Teams Score1.97 (49.6%)
BTTS No1.76 (50.4%)
Speculative
Volos NFC Win7.78 (16.7%)
Draw4.38 (19.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Volos NFC have averaged 3.1 corners per match at home; Panathinaikos 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Panathinaikos have generated 1.84 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 7.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Panathinaikos player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Panathinaikos to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.