Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Faisaly FC to win this match with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Both teams are struggling in the league, but Al-Faisaly holds a slight edge in their overall performance this season. Currently sitting in 16th place, they have earned 3 points from 7 matches, with a record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Their goal difference of -8 reflects their difficulties in both scoring and defending, yet they remain competitive in matches, as indicated by their 5 goals scored. Abha, on the other hand, finds themselves at the bottom of the standings in 18th place, having accumulated just 2 points from 7 matches. Their form has been poor, with no wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Like Al-Faisaly, they have also managed to score 5 goals, but their defensive record is slightly worse, conceding 13 goals and maintaining a goal difference of -8. This season has been challenging for Abha, and their inability to secure victories may weigh heavily on their confidence. The model gives Al-Faisaly FC a win probability of around 45%, projecting a final score of 1-0. A key market percentage indicates that there is a 35% chance for a draw. However, the caveat here is that both teams are closely matched in terms of their struggles, and a single mistake could shift the result. For a detailed understanding of the prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Abha manage games at home, conceding just 1.42 goals per match. Al-Faisaly FC score 1.72 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
Abha have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Abha clean sheets, in line with their 26% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Abha are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.99 | 3.28 | 3.22 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.93 | |
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.06 | 3.49 | 3.38 | 1.98 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.02 | 3.06 | 1.97 | 1.79 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.91 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.08 | 3.42 | 3.36 | 1.93 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Faisaly FC leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Abha and Al-Faisaly FC, Al-Faisaly FC has a slight edge with 4 wins compared to Abha's 3 wins, along with 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive encounters, with several matches ending in draws and a few narrow victories. Notably, both teams have managed to secure heavy wins, with Abha winning 3-1 in one instance and Al-Faisaly FC winning 2-1 in two matches. The most recent draw occurred in September 2025, suggesting that while the teams are evenly matched, Al-Faisaly FC has maintained a slight advantage historically.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAbha have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Abha 0-1 and drew with Abha 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 9L from the last 19 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Faisaly FC have won 5 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Ettifaq 0-0 and lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 5L from the last 18 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAbha
No reported absences
Al-Faisaly FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Abha have averaged 2.9 corners per match at home; Al-Faisaly FC 2.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Abha have generated 0.79 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Abha player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
