Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Al-Hazm, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ahli Jeddah has made a strong start to the season, currently sitting in 4th place with two wins from their first two matches. They have scored five goals while keeping a clean sheet, indicating a solid defence and effective attacking play. Their positive goal difference of +5 highlights their dominance in the opening fixtures. On the other hand, Al-Hazm sits at 11th place in the standings after three matches, with only one win to their name. They have struggled defensively, conceding five goals while scoring just four. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with three wins in their last five matches but two losses in the initial games of the season. This inconsistency could be a concern as they face a well-organised opponent in Al-Ahli Jeddah. The model suggests a win probability of around 65% for Al-Ahli Jeddah, reflecting their strong start to the season. However, one caveat to consider is that Al-Hazm could potentially disrupt their rhythm if they manage to score first or capitalise on defensive errors. For a detailed explanation of our predictions, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has developed this model to provide insightful match predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah win as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Ahli Jeddah clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.95 | 1.72 | |
| 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.23 | 6.81 | 9.99 | 1.52 | 2.53 | — | — | |
| 1.24 | 4.70 | 6.86 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.00 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.73 | |
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.20 | 6.70 | 11.10 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.95 | 1.74 | |
| 1.28 | 5.10 | 8.50 | 1.49 | 2.50 | 1.79 | 1.90 | |
Betano | 1.28 | 5.90 | 10.25 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Superbet | 1.29 | 5.90 | 8.80 | 1.55 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 | 1.50 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ahli Jeddah leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm, Al-Ahli has won 7 times, with 2 matches ending in a draw and Al-Hazm winning once. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, with Al-Ahli securing several convincing victories, including a notable 4-0 win. Al-Hazm's lone victory dates back to 2019, highlighting a significant gap in recent success. The matches have featured a mix of low and high scoring, but Al-Hazm has struggled to find the net consistently, evidenced by multiple games with zero goals. Overall, Al-Ahli Jeddah holds a dominant historical edge in this rivalry.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LWDDL |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | LDDLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDLD |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ahli Jeddah have won 15 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 and beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 6D 9L from the last 37 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Hazm have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Hazm 3-1 and drew with Al-Faisaly FC 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 10L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ahli Jeddah
No reported absences
Al-Hazm
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Al-Hazm 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah have generated 2.29 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 59% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ahli Jeddah player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
