Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Al-Faisaly FC. Al-Ittihad currently sits in second place in the Pro League standings, having secured 7 points from their first three matches with an impressive record of two wins and one draw. They have scored 5 goals while conceding only 3, showcasing a solid goal difference of +2. Their recent form, which includes four wins in their last five matches, highlights their consistency and attacking prowess. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC finds themselves in a precarious position, sitting 14th in the league with just 1 point from their three games. Their performance has been concerning, as they have yet to secure a win and have a goal difference of -4, having scored 3 goals and conceded 7. With only one draw in their last five matches, their form is a significant worry heading into this fixture. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Al-Ittihad, with the projected score being 2-1. However, it is important to note that football can be unpredictable; if Al-Faisaly can tighten their defence and convert their chances, they might upset the odds. The full methodology used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Al-Ittihad FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.15 | 4.25 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.58 | 2.17 | |
| 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 5.22 | 4.67 | 1.54 | 1.51 | 2.58 | — | — | |
| 3.63 | 3.60 | 1.62 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.50 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 5.34 | 4.41 | 1.52 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.58 | 2.21 | |
| 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.68 | 1.52 | 2.43 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.65 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 4.45 | 4.15 | 1.72 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.74 | 1.54 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.36 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC stands at 4 wins for each team, with 2 matches ending in draws over the last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, featuring a mix of narrow victories, such as Al-Ittihad's 1-0 win in January 2022, and a notable heavy defeat for Al-Faisaly, losing 0-4 in February 2024. Draws have occurred in 20% of these fixtures, suggesting that matches can be closely contested. Overall, the results reflect a balanced rivalry with both teams capable of winning.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | LDDLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDLD |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Faisaly FC have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Ittihad FC 1-3 and drew with Al-Hazm 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 5L from the last 18 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Ittihad FC have won 9 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Ittihad FC 1-1 and beat Al-Faisaly FC 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 8D 8L from the last 34 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Faisaly FC
No reported absences
Al-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Faisaly FC have averaged 1.8 corners per match at home; Al-Ittihad FC 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ittihad FC have generated 2.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
