Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al-Ettifaq, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Qadisiyah currently sits in 5th place with 6 points from 3 matches, having secured 2 wins and 1 loss. Their goal difference of +3 indicates a solid defensive performance, conceding only 2 goals while scoring 5. The team's form has been encouraging, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, suggesting they are gaining momentum. In contrast, Al-Ettifaq is positioned just behind in 6th place, also with 6 points but having a slightly less favorable goal difference of +2. They have scored 7 goals but have also conceded 5, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form has been less consistent, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches, which may affect their confidence going into this fixture. The model output suggests a win probability of around 55% for Al-Qadisiyah FC, indicating a reasonable chance for them to secure the three points. However, a key caveat is that Al-Ettifaq's attacking capabilities could exploit any lapses in Al-Qadisiyah's defense. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.9% probability.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Al-Qadisiyah FC win as the most likely scoreline at 11.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.22 | 5.90 | 8.30 | 1.25 | 3.28 | 1.56 | 2.21 | |
| 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 1.26 | 6.76 | 8.41 | 1.28 | 3.56 | — | — | |
| 1.22 | 5.13 | 6.86 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 8.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 1.27 | 5.75 | 7.00 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.24 | 6.47 | 9.10 | 1.25 | 3.28 | 1.56 | 2.25 | |
| 1.23 | 5.75 | 9.00 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 2.17 | |
| 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 3.00 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.29 | 6.20 | 8.75 | 1.37 | 3.15 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 1.28 | 6.40 | 8.30 | 1.36 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.75 | 9.00 | 1.25 | 3.50 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Qadisiyah FC leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq, Al-Qadisiyah has won 5 times, Al-Ettifaq has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a mix of narrow victories; however, Al-Qadisiyah has secured some heavier wins, including a notable 4-0 result. The presence of a draw suggests occasional stalemates, while Al-Ettifaq last won in December 2020, indicating a slight recent struggle against Al-Qadisiyah. Overall, the head-to-head record reflects a closely matched contest with moments of dominance from both sides.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | DDWLL |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | LDDLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDLD |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Qadisiyah FC have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Wasl FC 2-1 and drew with Al-Ettifaq 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 7D 3L from the last 30 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Ettifaq have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Ettifaq 3-3 and beat Abha 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 12L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Qadisiyah FC3-4-2-1Confirmed
Al-Ettifaq4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Al-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 6.1 corners per match at home; Al-Ettifaq 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC have generated 2.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Qadisiyah FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
