Al-Hazm vs NEOM Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hazm vs NEOM
Match Preview
The model favours NEOM to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 5th in the league, NEOM has had a strong start to the season with five wins out of seven matches, accumulating 15 points. Their offensive capabilities are evident, having scored 13 goals while conceding only 6, giving them a healthy goal difference of +7. In contrast, Al-Hazm is struggling in 10th place with just 8 points from their seven fixtures. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, with only two wins and a negative goal difference of -2, having scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Recent form shows they have only managed one win in their last five matches, indicating ongoing challenges in both attack and defense. The model output suggests NEOM has a higher probability of winning this match, although Al-Hazm could pose a threat if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses from NEOM. It's important to note that surprises can happen in football, and if Al-Hazm finds their rhythm, they could disrupt NEOM's plans. For a detailed explanation of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team applies an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
NEOM have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 NEOM win as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. NEOM are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hazm vs NEOM| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.95 | 3.94 | 1.51 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.78 | 1.88 | |
| 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 5.13 | 4.31 | 1.59 | 1.80 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 4.69 | 3.56 | 1.53 | 1.80 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.60 | — | — | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 4.81 | 4.08 | 1.62 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 4.90 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (NEOM leads 3-1)In the last five matches between Al-Hazm and NEOM, the record stands at 1 win for Al-Hazm, 1 draw, and 3 wins for NEOM. The scorelines indicate a competitive but slightly favorable trend for NEOM, with two of their victories coming by a margin of two goals. Al-Hazm's sole win was a narrow 2-1 in the King's Cup, while the other matches show a mix of close and decisive outcomes. The draw occurred recently, highlighting that both teams can hold their ground, but NEOM's recent dominance suggests they have had the upper hand historically.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | DLWDD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hazm have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al Taawon 1-0 and drew with Al Shabab 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 9L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
NEOM have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with NEOM 1-1 and beat Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 9L from the last 32 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Hazm3-4-3Confirmed
NEOM4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hazm
No reported absences
NEOM
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hazm have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; NEOM 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
NEOM have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. NEOM player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
