Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Ittihad FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Hilal currently leads the Pro League standings, with six wins from seven matches, accumulating 18 points. Their offensive strength is evident, having scored 23 goals while conceding only 5, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +18. This attacking prowess, paired with solid defensive performance, underlines their position at the top. On the other hand, Al-Ittihad FC is closely trailing in second place, boasting five wins and two draws, which gives them 17 points. They have maintained an unbeaten record so far, with a commendable defensive record of just 6 goals conceded. However, their goal-scoring output of 12 goals indicates a less potent attack compared to Al-Hilal, which may prove crucial in this matchup. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Al-Hilal, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is Al-Hilal's home advantage, which historically plays a significant role in their performance. A potential concern for Al-Hilal is the risk of complacency given their strong start to the season. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.9% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win as the most likely scoreline at 11.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheets, in line with their 48% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.22 | 5.75 | 8.00 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.57 | 2.19 | |
| 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 1.29 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.28 | 6.54 | 8.74 | 1.33 | 3.37 | — | — | |
| 1.28 | 5.22 | 6.66 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 5.50 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 1.27 | 5.25 | 8.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.24 | 6.50 | 9.00 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.57 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 1.32 | 5.90 | 8.25 | 1.36 | 3.15 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.50 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC, Al-Hilal has won 7 times, with 2 draws and Al-Ittihad securing just 1 victory. The scorelines indicate a strong advantage for Al-Hilal, particularly with notable wins such as 4-1 and 3-1, suggesting they often dominate these encounters. While there have been a couple of draws, the majority of matches have ended with Al-Hilal winning by a margin of at least two goals. Al-Ittihad's last win in this matchup came some time ago, reflecting a trend of Al-Hilal's consistent upper hand.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hilal Saudi FC have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Gharafa 2-1 and lost to NEOM 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 8D 2L from the last 33 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Ittihad FC have won 8 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Ittihad FC 1-1 and drew with Al-Fateh 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 8D 8L from the last 33 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Hilal Saudi FC4-4-2Confirmed
Al-Ittihad FC4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Al-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Al-Ittihad FC 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 3.17 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 70% of them. They put 6.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
