Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al Shabab, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ittihad is currently in second place in the league, boasting an impressive record of five wins and two draws from their seven matches. Their goal-scoring ability has been solid, with 12 goals scored, while only conceding six, resulting in a positive goal difference of six. This strong form includes three wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a team that is both resilient and effective. In contrast, Al Shabab finds itself in a challenging position at fourteenth in the standings, yet to secure a win this season. With four draws and three losses from their seven matches, they have struggled to find the back of the net, managing just six goals while conceding 11, leading to a goal difference of minus five. Their recent form reflects this struggle, with no wins in their last five matches, highlighting their difficulties in turning draws into victories. The model indicates a high win probability for Al-Ittihad FC, with a projected score of 2-0, underpinned by their strong performances throughout the season. However, a potential caveat for Al-Ittihad could be complacency, given their higher league position against a struggling opponent. The full prediction method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.5% probability.
Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.81 | 3.85 | 3.26 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.37 | 2.75 | |
| 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.36 | 2.88 | — | — | |
| 1.88 | 4.05 | 3.46 | 1.40 | 2.84 | — | — | |
| 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.70 | |
| 1.89 | 4.03 | 3.41 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.37 | 2.81 | |
Betano | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.44 | 2.87 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab, Al-Ittihad FC has won 6 times, with 2 draws and 2 victories for Al Shabab. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Al-Ittihad to secure narrow wins, with four matches decided by a single goal. However, there have also been a couple of more decisive victories for Al-Ittihad, including a 4-1 win in the King's Cup. Al Shabab's last win came in April 2024, suggesting a challenging period in this rivalry, with Al-Ittihad generally having the upper hand in recent encounters.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | WDLLD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ittihad FC have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 and beat Al-Ittihad FC 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 8D 8L from the last 33 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al Shabab have won 1 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Hazm 1-1 and drew with Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 10D 11L from the last 29 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Al Shabab
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ittihad FC have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Al Shabab 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ittihad FC have generated 2.13 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
