Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC to win this match against Al Kholood, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sits in fourth place in the league standings, boasting an impressive record of five wins, one draw, and only one loss from their seven matches. Their goal-scoring ability is notable, having netted 16 goals while conceding just 8, resulting in a goal difference of +8. This offensive strength, coupled with their recent form of four wins and one draw in their last five matches, reinforces their position as strong contenders for this fixture. On the other hand, Al Kholood occupies seventh place with a mixed record of three wins, three draws, and one loss. They have scored 12 goals but have also conceded 10, leaving them with a goal difference of +2. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, indicating some inconsistency that could be a concern against a more formidable opponent like Al-Qadisiyah FC. The model suggests a win probability of around 60% for Al-Qadisiyah FC, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat for this prediction is the potential for Al Kholood to capitalize on home advantage, which could lead to a more competitive match than expected. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.85 | 4.60 | 1.37 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.63 | 2.09 | |
| 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 5.95 | 5.00 | 1.45 | 1.53 | 2.53 | — | — | |
| 5.42 | 4.08 | 1.39 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 5.75 | 4.10 | 1.42 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 6.18 | 4.86 | 1.42 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.63 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.50 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Qadisiyah FC leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC, Al Kholood has won 1, there has been 1 draw, and Al-Qadisiyah FC has won 8 times. This record indicates a significant advantage for Al-Qadisiyah FC, with many of their victories being decisive, highlighted by scorelines such as 4-0 and 4-1. The matches have generally been low-scoring for Al Kholood, as they have managed only 6 goals across the 10 fixtures, while Al-Qadisiyah FC has scored 24. Al Kholood's last victory over Al-Qadisiyah FC was in December 2022, suggesting a prolonged struggle against this opponent.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Kholood have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-5 and beat Al Shabab 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 12L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 12 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-5 and beat Al Diriyah 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 6D 3L from the last 30 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Kholood
No reported absences
Al-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al Kholood have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Al-Qadisiyah FC 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC have generated 2.93 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 70% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Qadisiyah FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
