Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours Chengdu Better City to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the league, Chengdu has demonstrated solid form throughout the season with 15 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses from 27 matches. Their goal difference of +20 highlights their offensive capabilities, as they have scored 51 goals while conceding 31. Despite a mixed recent performance, their overall standing suggests they are a difficult team to beat at home. Dalian Zhixing, positioned third in the league, has had a more inconsistent season with 12 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses from 26 matches. Their goal difference of -4 indicates defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 42 goals against their 38 scored. However, Dalian is currently in a good run of form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, which could provide them with the confidence needed to challenge Chengdu. The model gives Chengdu Better City a significant win probability based on their overall performance this season. However, Dalian's recent unbeaten streak could pose a challenge, and if they can maintain this momentum, an upset is possible. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Chengdu Better City have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Chengdu Better City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.58 | 2.27 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 2.04 | 3.87 | 3.14 | 1.58 | 2.30 | — | — | |
| 1.89 | 3.25 | 2.91 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.40 | |
| 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.20 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.03 | 3.89 | 3.37 | 1.62 | 2.33 | 1.52 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.13 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Chengdu Better City leads 2-1)In the last three encounters between Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing, Chengdu has won twice while Dalian has secured one victory. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with Chengdu winning 2-0 in both of their victories, while Dalian's win also came with the same scoreline. This suggests that when either team emerges victorious, they do so with a comfortable margin. Notably, there have been no draws in this small sample, highlighting a tendency for decisive outcomes. Dalian's last win against Chengdu came in May 2026, indicating that Chengdu has had the upper hand more recently.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonChengdu Better City have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tianjin Teda 0-1 and beat Shenyang Urban 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 13D 9L from the last 38 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 3 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-1 and drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 15L from the last 37 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChengdu Better City
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Chengdu Better City have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chengdu Better City have generated 1.78 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chengdu Better City player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
