Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
Match Preview
The model favours Shanghai Shenhua to win against Sichuan Jiuniu, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 8th place, Shanghai Shenhua has had a solid season, accumulating 34 points from 27 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, along with a goal difference of +12, highlights their offensive capabilities, having scored 59 goals while conceding 47. The team’s form has been relatively strong, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches, indicating they are likely to carry this momentum into the upcoming fixture. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu is positioned 11th in the league, with a total of 29 points after 27 games. Their season has been challenging, marked by 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, resulting in a negative goal difference of -11. While they managed a win in their last match, their overall form shows just one victory in their last five outings, suggesting struggles in both defence and attack. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Shanghai Shenhua, favouring their chances of securing three points in this match. However, a potential caveat is Sichuan Jiuniu's home advantage, which could impact the game's dynamics. For a deeper insight into the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.3% probability.
Shanghai Shenhua have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Shanghai Shenhua are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.32 | 3.82 | 1.91 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.39 | 2.72 | |
| 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.95 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 3.48 | 4.03 | 1.87 | 1.41 | 2.79 | — | — | |
| 2.89 | 3.34 | 1.87 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 3.44 | 3.96 | 1.98 | 1.43 | 2.72 | 1.39 | 2.77 | |
Betano | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.72 |
BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.87 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (evenly matched 2-2)The head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua stands at 2 wins for each side and 2 draws over their last 6 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive matches, with three fixtures ending in a one-goal margin, including a 3-1 victory for Sichuan Jiuniu. There have also been two draws, highlighting a tendency for closely contested games. Notably, the last win for Shanghai Shenhua against Sichuan Jiuniu was in May 2024, suggesting that both teams have had their moments of success, with no team dominating the recent history.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 34 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 29 | DDLDW |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan Jiuniu have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 2-2 and lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 19L from the last 38 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shanghai Shenhua have won 8 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-3 and lost to Dalian Zhixing 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 15L from the last 41 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Shanghai Shenhua
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Shanghai Shenhua 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shanghai Shenhua have generated 3.14 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 7.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shanghai Shenhua player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
