Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to win against Yunnan Yukun, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Qingdao Youth Island currently sits in 4th place with 38 points from 26 matches, showcasing a solid season with a record of 8 wins, 14 draws, and 4 losses. Their recent form has been encouraging, going unbeaten in their last five matches with one win and four draws, indicating a resilient side that can grind out results. While their goal difference stands at -1, their defensive record has been relatively stable. On the other hand, Yunnan Yukun occupies 5th place, also with 38 points but from 27 matches, having achieved 11 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. Their goal-scoring ability is notable, with 55 goals scored this season, but they have also conceded 58, resulting in a goal difference of -3. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, suggesting they may struggle to maintain their earlier momentum. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Qingdao Youth Island, with a projected score of 2-1. A potential caveat is that if Yunnan Yukun can convert their attacking opportunities effectively, they could pose a significant threat. The full methodology used to reach this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Qingdao Youth Island have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Qingdao Youth Island are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.47 | 3.42 | 2.57 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.54 | 3.45 | 2.62 | 1.58 | 2.31 | — | — | |
| 2.26 | 3.16 | 2.37 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.55 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.56 | 3.54 | 2.67 | 1.55 | 2.36 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
Betano | 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.57 | 1.60 | 2.27 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun stands at one win for each team and one draw over their last three encounters. The matches have shown a mix of outcomes, with one high-scoring game resulting in a 3-2 win for Qingdao Youth Island, while the other two fixtures were tightly contested, including a 1-0 victory for Yunnan Yukun and a scoreless draw. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no team consistently dominating the other, and highlights a tendency for close matches.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Youth Island have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 9 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 and drew with Qingdao Youth Island 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 17D 8L from the last 37 games (32% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Yunnan Yukun have won 5 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Yunnan Yukun 7-1 and lost to Hangzhou Greentown 6-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 13L from the last 39 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Yunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Youth Island have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Yunnan Yukun 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Qingdao Youth Island have generated 1.34 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Qingdao Youth Island player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
