Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
Match Preview
The model favours Hangzhou Greentown to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Hangzhou Greentown currently sits in 10th place in the league, having accumulated 31 points from 27 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced goal record, with 47 goals scored and 47 conceded, indicating a competitive nature. Recent form shows that they have secured two wins and a draw in their last five matches, suggesting a slight upward trend as they aim to solidify their mid-table position. In contrast, Shenyang Urban is struggling at 14th place, with only 25 points from 26 games. Their performance has been disappointing, particularly in recent weeks, as they have failed to win any of their last five matches, suffering four losses and one draw. With a goal difference of -13, the team has struggled defensively, conceding 47 goals while only managing to score 34. These statistics illustrate the challenges they face as they fight to avoid relegation. The model outputs a win probability of approximately 55% for Hangzhou Greentown, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat is that if Shenyang Urban can improve their defensive organization or capitalize on set pieces, they could pose a threat. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the methodology of our in-house model, which utilizes expected goals and actual results, is detailed. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.8% probability.
Shenyang Urban have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 11.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Shenyang Urban are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.16 | 3.84 | 2.76 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 3.04 | |
| 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.98 | 1.36 | 2.98 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.35 | 3.00 | |
| 2.24 | 3.98 | 2.86 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 3.10 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Hangzhou Greentown leads 3-1)Hangzhou Greentown hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings with 1 draws and 1 Shenyang Urban win. The record points to a tie Hangzhou Greentown have controlled for years, though the draws show Shenyang Urban have at times kept it tight.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 31 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShenyang Urban have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Shenyang Urban 4-4 and lost to Shenyang Urban 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 16L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tianjin Teda 2-1 and drew with Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 13D 13L from the last 37 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShenyang Urban
No reported absences
Hangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shenyang Urban have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Hangzhou Greentown 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shenyang Urban have generated 1.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shenyang Urban player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
