Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours SHANGHAI SIPG to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Tianjin Teda. Currently positioned 7th in the league, SIPG has demonstrated a strong season overall with 11 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses from 27 matches, accumulating 36 points. Their goal-scoring ability is notable, with 44 goals scored, which highlights their offensive strength. In contrast, Tianjin Teda sits in 12th place with 28 points from the same number of matches. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses indicates a mid-table performance, but their recent form shows promise with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. With a goal difference of 5, they have managed to be defensively resilient, conceding only 32 goals. According to the model, SHANGHAI SIPG has a win probability of approximately 55%, while Tianjin Teda's chances stand at 25%. The key market percentage indicates a slight advantage for SIPG, but one caveat to consider is that Tianjin Teda's recent form could lead to an upset if they continue their winning streak. The full methodology behind these predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results to inform these insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.71 | 3.38 | 2.38 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.73 | 3.52 | 2.51 | 1.77 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 2.56 | 3.04 | 2.16 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.81 | 3.50 | 2.46 | 1.78 | 2.06 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 2.87 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Tianjin Teda and Shanghai SIPG, the record stands at 1 win for Tianjin Teda, 4 draws, and 5 wins for Shanghai SIPG. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Shanghai SIPG to dominate, with three matches ending in heavy defeats for Tianjin Teda, including a notable 5-0 loss. While there have been four draws, these tend to be low-scoring, with only two matches featuring more than two goals. Tianjin Teda's last victory over Shanghai SIPG dates back to November 2022, suggesting a challenge for them in recent encounters.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 36 | WDWWD |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 28 | WWWDD |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTianjin Teda have won 7 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tianjin Teda 2-1 and drew with Tianjin Teda 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 11D 13L from the last 36 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 10 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-4 and beat Ratchaburi 4-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 13L from the last 40 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTianjin Teda
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tianjin Teda have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tianjin Teda have generated 1.37 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
