Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng
Match Preview
The model favours Shandong Luneng to win against Wuhan Three Towns, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 6th in the league, Shandong Luneng has demonstrated solid form this season with 13 wins out of 26 matches. Their goal-scoring ability has been notable, with 46 goals scored, though they have also conceded 43, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Wuhan Three Towns finds themselves in a precarious 15th position, with a record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses. Their season has been challenging, reflected in their goal difference of -7. Despite earning a win recently, their overall form shows only one win in the last five matches, highlighting struggles in securing consistent results. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Shandong Luneng, bolstered by their stronger league standing and recent form. However, a potential caveat could be Wuhan's ability to capitalize on home advantage, which could disrupt Shandong's plans. For more in-depth analysis, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.4% probability.
Shandong Luneng have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 11.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Shandong Luneng are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.26 | 3.92 | 1.91 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.34 | 2.93 | |
| 3.30 | 4.20 | 1.91 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.36 | 3.10 | |
| 3.26 | 4.08 | 1.93 | 1.36 | 3.00 | — | — | |
| 3.25 | 3.75 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.35 | 3.00 | |
| 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.90 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 3.38 | 4.06 | 1.98 | 1.37 | 2.98 | 1.34 | 2.99 | |
Betano | 3.30 | 3.95 | 1.91 | 1.37 | 2.87 | 1.37 | 2.87 |
BetVictor | 3.13 | 4.00 | 1.90 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 3.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Shandong Luneng leads 5-1)The head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng shows 1 win for Wuhan, 4 draws, and 5 wins for Shandong. This indicates a slight advantage for Shandong, particularly as they have secured 5 victories, including a significant 5-1 win in November 2025. While there have been several close encounters, with four matches ending in draws, the results suggest that Shandong has often managed to edge out Wuhan, especially in recent fixtures. The last win for Wuhan was in April 2023, which adds to the challenge they face in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 5 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 2-2 and drew with Tianjin Teda 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 13D 15L from the last 34 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shandong Luneng have won 8 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Shanghai Shenhua 2-3 and lost to Qingdao Youth Island 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 9D 10L from the last 38 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Shandong Luneng
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Shandong Luneng 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shandong Luneng have generated 1.56 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shandong Luneng player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
